Guardant Health Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GH Stock | USD 101.74 0.40 0.39% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guardant Health on the next trading day is expected to be 102.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 174.85. Guardant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guardant Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Guardant Health's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guardant Health, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.81) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.44) | Wall Street Target Price 115.4762 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.49) |
Using Guardant Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guardant Health from the perspective of Guardant Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Guardant Health using Guardant Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Guardant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Guardant Health's stock price.
Guardant Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Guardant Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Guardant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Guardant Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 62.4234 | Short Percent 0.0795 | Short Ratio 4.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.2 M | 50 Day MA 97.1878 |
Guardant Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Guardant Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Guardant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guardant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guardant Health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Guardant Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Guardant Health.
Guardant Health Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Guardant Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Guardant Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Guardant Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Guardant Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Guardant Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guardant Health on the next trading day is expected to be 102.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 174.85. Guardant Health after-hype prediction price | USD 100.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guardant Health to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Guardant Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Guardant Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Guardant Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Guardant Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Guardant Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to Guardant Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Guardant Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Guardant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Guardant Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guardant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guardant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guardant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guardant Health Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Guardant Health's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 629.1 M | Current Value 580 M | Quarterly Volatility 364.4 M |
Guardant Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guardant Health on the next trading day is expected to be 102.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87, mean absolute percentage error of 16.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 174.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guardant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guardant Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Guardant Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Guardant Health | Guardant Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Guardant Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Guardant Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guardant Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.08 and 106.81, respectively. We have considered Guardant Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guardant Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guardant Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8865 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.8665 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0321 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 174.8544 |
Predictive Modules for Guardant Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardant Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Guardant Health
For every potential investor in Guardant, whether a beginner or expert, Guardant Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guardant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guardant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guardant Health's price trends.Guardant Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guardant Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guardant Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guardant Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guardant Health Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guardant Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guardant Health's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guardant Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guardant Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guardant Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guardant Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guardant Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Guardant Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Guardant Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guardant Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guardant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.24 | |||
| Variance | 18.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guardant Health to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Guardant Stock please use our How to Invest in Guardant Health guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guardant Health. If investors know Guardant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guardant Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.21) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.385 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Guardant Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guardant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guardant Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guardant Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guardant Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guardant Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guardant Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guardant Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guardant Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.