Icon Plc Stock Price Prediction

ICLR Stock  USD 214.25  1.49  0.70%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of ICON PLC's share price is below 30 as of today. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ICON PLC, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

23

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ICON PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ICON PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ICON PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ICON PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ICON PLC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.198
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.9777
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.1798
Wall Street Target Price
280.5625
Using ICON PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICON PLC from the perspective of ICON PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

ICON PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ICON PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ICON. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ICON can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ICON PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ICON PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ICON PLC.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ICON PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ICON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ICON PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 213.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ICON PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in ICON Stock, please use our How to Invest in ICON PLC guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
192.83239.02242.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
225.27228.68232.09
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
253.70278.79309.46
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.453.493.51
Details

ICON PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ICON PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICON PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICON PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ICON PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ICON PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICON PLC's historical news coverage. ICON PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 210.45 and 217.27, respectively. We have considered ICON PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
214.25
210.45
Downside
213.86
After-hype Price
217.27
Upside
ICON PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICON PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

ICON PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICON PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICON PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICON PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.59 
3.43
  0.41 
  3.73 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
214.25
213.86
0.18 
497.10  
Notes

ICON PLC Hype Timeline

ICON PLC is currently traded for 214.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -3.73. ICON is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 213.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.59%. The volatility of related hype on ICON PLC is about 54.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 210.52. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ICON PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.0. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.0. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. ICON PLC had 2:1 split on the 13th of August 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out ICON PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in ICON Stock, please use our How to Invest in ICON PLC guide.

ICON PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ICON PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICON PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how ICON PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICON PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MTDMettler Toledo International(60.36)7 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.61 (3.37) 12.16 
CRLCharles River Laboratories 5.10 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.78 (4.35) 18.19 
SYNHSyneos Health 0.00 0 per month 0.85 (0.01) 2.13 (1.42) 9.20 
LHLaboratory of(2.72)8 per month 1.16 (0.04) 2.09 (1.83) 7.89 
IQVIQVIA Holdings(0.76)9 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.73 (4.05) 9.22 
NEOGNeogen 0.75 13 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.11 (6.46) 11.75 
MEDPMedpace Holdings(0.89)11 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.53 (7.23) 16.64 
QGENQiagen NV(1.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.06 (2.05) 5.80 
TWSTTwist Bioscience Corp(3.03)9 per month 3.83 (0.02) 6.77 (6.21) 17.59 
WATWaters(0.27)8 per month 1.34  0.02  3.00 (2.31) 24.69 

ICON PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ICON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICON using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ICON PLC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ICON PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ICON PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ICON PLC based on analysis of ICON PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ICON PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ICON PLC's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding138.05132.09130.32142.15
PTB Ratio2.581.862.522.02

Story Coverage note for ICON PLC

The number of cover stories for ICON PLC depends on current market conditions and ICON PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICON PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICON PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

ICON PLC Short Properties

ICON PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICON PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICON PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICON PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICON PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding82.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments380.1 M

Additional Tools for ICON Stock Analysis

When running ICON PLC's price analysis, check to measure ICON PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICON PLC is operating at the current time. Most of ICON PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICON PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICON PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICON PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.