GreenTree Hospitality Stock Forward View
| GHG Stock | USD 1.46 0.02 1.35% |
GreenTree Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of GreenTree Hospitality's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of GreenTree Hospitality's share price is approaching 31. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GreenTree Hospitality, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.635 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.49 | Wall Street Target Price 3.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using GreenTree Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GreenTree Hospitality Group from the perspective of GreenTree Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GreenTree Hospitality Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64. GreenTree Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 1.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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GreenTree Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GreenTree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GreenTree using various technical indicators. When you analyze GreenTree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GreenTree Hospitality Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the GreenTree Hospitality's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.7 B | Current Value 1.6 B | Quarterly Volatility 636.5 M |
GreenTree Hospitality Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GreenTree Hospitality Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GreenTree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GreenTree Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GreenTree Hospitality Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GreenTree Hospitality | GreenTree Hospitality Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GreenTree Hospitality Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GreenTree Hospitality's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GreenTree Hospitality's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.46, respectively. We have considered GreenTree Hospitality's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GreenTree Hospitality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GreenTree Hospitality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.086 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0265 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.6426 |
Predictive Modules for GreenTree Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GreenTree Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GreenTree Hospitality After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GreenTree Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GreenTree Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GreenTree Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GreenTree Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GreenTree Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GreenTree Hospitality's historical news coverage. GreenTree Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 3.41, respectively. We have considered GreenTree Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GreenTree Hospitality is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GreenTree Hospitality is based on 3 months time horizon.
GreenTree Hospitality Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GreenTree Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GreenTree Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GreenTree Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.01 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.46 | 1.40 | 4.11 |
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GreenTree Hospitality Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February GreenTree Hospitality is traded for 1.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. GreenTree is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -4.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.47%. The volatility of related hype on GreenTree Hospitality is about 2093.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.51. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GreenTree Hospitality last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GreenTree Hospitality to cross-verify your projections.GreenTree Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GreenTree Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GreenTree Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how GreenTree Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GreenTree Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIOT | Viomi Technology ADR | (0.49) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 4.88 | (6.60) | 17.65 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | 1.61 | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.10 | 3.51 | (2.25) | 14.61 | |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | (0.49) | 10 per month | 2.76 | 0 | 4.38 | (4.42) | 19.06 | |
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.07 | 2.24 | (4.27) | 51.18 | |
| INSE | Inspired Entertainment | 0.09 | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.08 | 3.97 | (4.58) | 18.56 | |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 6.74 | (33.96) | 54.01 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 8.79 | (14.25) | 51.99 | |
| HBB | Hamilton Beach Brands | (0.16) | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.16 | 5.68 | (3.74) | 17.33 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 0.59 | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.15 | 5.22 | (3.04) | 9.20 | |
| LOVE | The Lovesac | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.06 | (5.35) | 20.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for GreenTree Hospitality
For every potential investor in GreenTree, whether a beginner or expert, GreenTree Hospitality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GreenTree Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GreenTree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GreenTree Hospitality's price trends.GreenTree Hospitality Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GreenTree Hospitality stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GreenTree Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GreenTree Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GreenTree Hospitality Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GreenTree Hospitality stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GreenTree Hospitality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GreenTree Hospitality stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GreenTree Hospitality Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
GreenTree Hospitality Risk Indicators
The analysis of GreenTree Hospitality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GreenTree Hospitality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting greentree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GreenTree Hospitality
The number of cover stories for GreenTree Hospitality depends on current market conditions and GreenTree Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GreenTree Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GreenTree Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GreenTree Hospitality Short Properties
GreenTree Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when GreenTree Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GreenTree Hospitality Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GreenTree Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GreenTree Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GreenTree Hospitality to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Can Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry sustain growth momentum? Does GreenTree have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GreenTree Hospitality. Market participants price GreenTree higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating GreenTree Hospitality demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.635 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets |
The market value of GreenTree Hospitality is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GreenTree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GreenTree Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GreenTree Hospitality's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because GreenTree Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GreenTree Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GreenTree Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GreenTree Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, GreenTree Hospitality's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.