Globant SA Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

GLOB Stock  USD 229.55  1.38  0.60%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 230.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 389.74. Globant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Globant SA stock prices and determine the direction of Globant SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Globant SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Globant SA's Payables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 4.54, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to (22.26). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 179.8 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 40.7 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Globant SA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Globant SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 230.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.39, mean absolute percentage error of 61.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 389.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globant SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Globant SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Globant SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Globant SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globant SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 227.64 and 232.88, respectively. We have considered Globant SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
229.55
227.64
Downside
230.26
Expected Value
232.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globant SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globant SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.2341
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.3892
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0304
SAESum of the absolute errors389.7396
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Globant SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Globant SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globant SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
226.93229.55232.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
218.64221.26252.51
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
203.23223.33247.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.541.601.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Globant SA

For every potential investor in Globant, whether a beginner or expert, Globant SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globant SA's price trends.

View Globant SA Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Globant SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Globant SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Globant SA's current price.

Globant SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globant SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globant SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globant SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globant SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Globant SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Globant SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globant SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Globant SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Globant SA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Globant Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Globant Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Globant SA. If investors know Globant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Globant SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.024
Earnings Share
3.83
Revenue Per Share
53.121
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.181
Return On Assets
0.0609
The market value of Globant SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Globant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Globant SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Globant SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Globant SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Globant SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Globant SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Globant SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Globant SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.