Globant SA Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

GLOB Stock  USD 69.04  0.01  0.01%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 69.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.81. Globant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Globant SA stock prices and determine the direction of Globant SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Globant SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Globant SA's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Globant SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Globant SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Globant SA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5404
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.0824
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.3001
Wall Street Target Price
84.6364
Using Globant SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globant SA from the perspective of Globant SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Globant SA using Globant SA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Globant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Globant SA's stock price.

Globant SA Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Globant SA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Globant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Globant SA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
79.451
Short Percent
0.1513
Short Ratio
5.5
Shares Short Prior Month
7.3 M
50 Day MA
65.8434

Globant SA Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Globant SA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Globant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Globant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Globant SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Globant SA Implied Volatility

    
  0.72  
Globant SA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Globant SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Globant SA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Globant SA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Globant SA's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 69.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.81.

Globant SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 69.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Globant contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Globant SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Globant SA trading at USD 69.04, that is roughly USD 0.0311 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Globant SA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Globant SA options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Globant Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Globant SA's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Globant SA's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Globant SA stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Globant SA's open interest, investors have to compare it to Globant SA's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Globant SA is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Globant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Globant SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Globant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Globant SA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Globant SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Globant SA on the next trading day is expected to be 69.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85, mean absolute percentage error of 5.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globant SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Globant SA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Globant SAGlobant SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Globant SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Globant SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globant SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.91 and 72.64, respectively. We have considered Globant SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.04
69.77
Expected Value
72.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globant SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globant SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8719
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8494
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0283
SAESum of the absolute errors112.814
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Globant SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Globant SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globant SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.1869.0471.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.8067.6670.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
64.0367.7271.41
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
77.0284.6493.95
Details

Globant SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Globant SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globant SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globant SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Globant SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Globant SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globant SA's historical news coverage. Globant SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.18 and 71.90, respectively. We have considered Globant SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
69.04
69.04
After-hype Price
71.90
Upside
Globant SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globant SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Globant SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globant SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globant SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globant SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.86
  0.47 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.04
69.04
0.00 
120.68  
Notes

Globant SA Hype Timeline

Globant SA is currently traded for 69.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Globant is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 120.68%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Globant SA is about 32175.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.04. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Globant SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 0:1 split on the January 6, 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.

Globant SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Globant SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globant SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Globant SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globant SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNXCConcentrix 1.38 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.06 (5.11) 14.93 
DXCDXC Technology Co 0.20 9 per month 2.19  0.07  3.28 (3.49) 16.29 
FORTYFormula Systems 1985 0.56 25 per month 4.72  0.09  7.00 (7.91) 23.60 
VNETVNET Group DRC(0.34)9 per month 3.82  0.05  7.68 (8.09) 21.08 
BBAIBigBearai Holdings 0.94 23 per month 0.00 (0.05) 11.19 (8.09) 29.89 
ACMRAcm Research(0.32)26 per month 4.55  0.08  6.59 (4.62) 26.91 
INODInnodata(2.37)11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.34 (7.73) 25.81 
NATLNCR Atleos 2.40 9 per month 2.35 (0.03) 3.08 (2.76) 12.49 
CLVTCLARIVATE PLC(2.37)4 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.12 (5.95) 13.67 

Other Forecasting Options for Globant SA

For every potential investor in Globant, whether a beginner or expert, Globant SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globant SA's price trends.

Globant SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globant SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globant SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globant SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Globant SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globant SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globant SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globant SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globant SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Globant SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Globant SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globant SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Globant SA

The number of cover stories for Globant SA depends on current market conditions and Globant SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globant SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globant SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Globant SA Short Properties

Globant SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Globant SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globant SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globant SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globant SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments158.2 M
When determining whether Globant SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Globant SA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Globant Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Globant Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globant SA to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Globant Stock refer to our How to Trade Globant Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Globant SA. If investors know Globant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Globant SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Earnings Share
2.19
Revenue Per Share
56.244
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.004
Return On Assets
0.0397
The market value of Globant SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Globant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Globant SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Globant SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Globant SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Globant SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Globant SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Globant SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Globant SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.