Galapagos Stock Forward View
| GLPG Stock | USD 27.73 -1.08 -3.75% |
Galapagos NV ADR's Naive Prediction forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The Naive Prediction model projects Galapagos at 27.50 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Galapagos at 27.50 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 23.39 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Galapagos' recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Galapagos | Galapagos Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Galapagos defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The forecast band spans 25.73 to 29.26. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Galapagos stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7309 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3835 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.3922 |
Other Forecasting Options for Galapagos
Bollinger Bands applied to Galapagos Stock price data measure how far Galapagos has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Galapagos' price data.Galapagos Related Equities
Sizing up Galapagos against these stocks within the Health Care space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Checking Galapagos against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Galapagos Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Galapagos quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Galapagos.
Galapagos Risk Indicators
Analyzing Galapagos' risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Galapagos helps place recent price behavior in context.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Galapagos Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Galapagos NV ADR matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.89 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 billion |