Galapagos Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GLPG Stock | USD 34.60 0.37 1.08% |
Galapagos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Galapagos' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The RSI of Galapagos' stock price is roughly 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 3rd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Galapagos, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.748 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.226 | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.00) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.19 | Wall Street Target Price 27.8702 |
Using Galapagos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galapagos NV ADR from the perspective of Galapagos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Galapagos using Galapagos' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Galapagos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Galapagos' stock price.
Galapagos Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Galapagos' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Galapagos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Galapagos stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 31.0411 | Short Percent 0.0221 | Short Ratio 8.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 988.4 K | 50 Day MA 32.4756 |
Galapagos Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Galapagos NV ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 34.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.25.Galapagos NV ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Galapagos' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Galapagos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Galapagos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Galapagos NV ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Galapagos' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Galapagos.
Galapagos Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
Galapagos' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Galapagos NV ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Galapagos' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Galapagos stock will not fluctuate a lot when Galapagos' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Galapagos NV ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 34.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.25. Galapagos after-hype prediction price | USD 34.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Galapagos | Build AI portfolio with Galapagos Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Galapagos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Galapagos NV ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Galapagos trading at USD 34.6, that is roughly USD 0.0123 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Galapagos' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Galapagos NV ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Galapagos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Galapagos' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Galapagos' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Galapagos stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Galapagos' open interest, investors have to compare it to Galapagos' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Galapagos is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Galapagos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Galapagos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Galapagos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galapagos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galapagos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Galapagos Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Galapagos NV ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 34.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galapagos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galapagos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Galapagos Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Galapagos | Galapagos Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Galapagos Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Galapagos' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galapagos' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.98 and 35.61, respectively. We have considered Galapagos' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galapagos stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galapagos stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.126 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4631 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0144 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.2469 |
Predictive Modules for Galapagos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galapagos NV ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Galapagos After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Galapagos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Galapagos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Galapagos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Galapagos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Galapagos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Galapagos' historical news coverage. Galapagos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.29 and 35.91, respectively. We have considered Galapagos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Galapagos is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Galapagos NV ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Galapagos Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Galapagos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Galapagos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Galapagos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.31 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 3 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.60 | 34.60 | 0.00 |
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Galapagos Hype Timeline
Galapagos NV ADR is currently traded for 34.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Galapagos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 159.76%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Galapagos is about 422.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.52. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Galapagos NV ADR recorded a loss per share of 7.99. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Galapagos to cross-verify your projections.Galapagos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Galapagos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Galapagos' future price movements. Getting to know how Galapagos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Galapagos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RCUS | Arcus Biosciences | 0.01 | 10 per month | 4.19 | 0.04 | 5.64 | (6.53) | 19.63 | |
| OCUL | Ocular Therapeutix | 0.09 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.04 | (5.39) | 36.20 | |
| IBRX | Immunitybio | (0.11) | 10 per month | 4.10 | 0.21 | 11.16 | (7.49) | 51.87 | |
| VRDN | Viridian Therapeutics | 0.07 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.18 | 5.57 | (2.22) | 15.86 | |
| COGT | Cogent Biosciences | 0.60 | 10 per month | 2.32 | 0.13 | 5.71 | (4.62) | 126.24 | |
| DNLI | Denali Therapeutics | 0.09 | 11 per month | 2.99 | 0.12 | 6.50 | (4.22) | 23.32 | |
| QURE | Uniqure NV | (1.97) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.37 | (10.75) | 49.34 | |
| ETNB | 89bio Inc | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.83 | 0.09 | 3.02 | (4.66) | 86.02 | |
| GPCR | Structure Therapeutics American | (1.97) | 3 per month | 2.99 | 0.16 | 8.96 | (6.75) | 110.34 | |
| MESO | Mesoblast | 0.10 | 10 per month | 3.20 | 0.03 | 5.49 | (3.96) | 19.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Galapagos
For every potential investor in Galapagos, whether a beginner or expert, Galapagos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galapagos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galapagos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galapagos' price trends.Galapagos Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galapagos stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galapagos could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galapagos by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Galapagos Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galapagos stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galapagos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galapagos stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Galapagos NV ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Galapagos Risk Indicators
The analysis of Galapagos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galapagos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galapagos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Galapagos
The number of cover stories for Galapagos depends on current market conditions and Galapagos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Galapagos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Galapagos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Galapagos Short Properties
Galapagos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Galapagos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Galapagos NV ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Galapagos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galapagos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Galapagos to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Can Biotechnology industry sustain growth momentum? Does Galapagos have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Galapagos. Market participants price Galapagos higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Galapagos demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.748 | Earnings Share (7.99) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.189 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Galapagos NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Galapagos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Galapagos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Galapagos' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Galapagos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Galapagos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Galapagos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Galapagos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Galapagos' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.