Clough Global Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GLV Fund  USD 5.73  0.01  0.17%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Clough Global Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 5.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.20. Clough Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Clough Global Allocation is based on a synthetically constructed Clough Globaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Clough Global 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Clough Global Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 5.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clough Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clough Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clough Global Fund Forecast Pattern

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Clough Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clough Global's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clough Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.89 and 6.65, respectively. We have considered Clough Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.73
5.77
Expected Value
6.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clough Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clough Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria76.4899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0112
MADMean absolute deviation0.0781
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors3.2035
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Clough Global Allocation 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Clough Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clough Global Allocation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.855.736.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.865.746.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Clough Global

For every potential investor in Clough, whether a beginner or expert, Clough Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clough Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clough. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clough Global's price trends.

Clough Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clough Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clough Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clough Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clough Global Allocation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Clough Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Clough Global's current price.

Clough Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clough Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clough Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clough Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Clough Global Allocation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clough Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clough Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clough Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clough fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Clough Fund

Clough Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clough Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clough with respect to the benefits of owning Clough Global security.
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