Clough Global Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GLV Fund  USD 5.97  0.01  0.17%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clough Global Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 5.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09. Clough Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Clough Global's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Clough Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Clough Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Clough Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Clough Global Allocation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Clough Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clough Global Allocation from the perspective of Clough Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clough Global Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 5.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09.

Clough Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clough Global to cross-verify your projections.

Clough Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Clough price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clough using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clough charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Clough Global simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Clough Global Allocation are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Clough Global Allocation prices get older.

Clough Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clough Global Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 5.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clough Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clough Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clough Global Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Clough GlobalClough Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Clough Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clough Global's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clough Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.22 and 6.72, respectively. We have considered Clough Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.97
5.97
Expected Value
6.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clough Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clough Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.0437
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0022
MADMean absolute deviation0.0348
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors2.09
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Clough Global Allocation forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Clough Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Clough Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clough Global Allocation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.225.966.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.225.966.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Clough Global

For every potential investor in Clough, whether a beginner or expert, Clough Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clough Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clough. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clough Global's price trends.

Clough Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clough Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clough Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clough Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clough Global Allocation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Clough Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Clough Global's current price.

Clough Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clough Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clough Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clough Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Clough Global Allocation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clough Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clough Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clough Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clough fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Clough Fund

Clough Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clough Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clough with respect to the benefits of owning Clough Global security.
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