Glg Intl Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| GLVIX Fund | USD 86.76 0.51 0.59% |
Glg Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Glg Intl's mutual fund price is slightly above 62. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Glg, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Glg Intl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Glg Intl Small from the perspective of Glg Intl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Glg Intl Small on the next trading day is expected to be 86.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.28. Glg Intl after-hype prediction price | USD 86.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Glg |
Glg Intl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Glg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Glg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Glg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Glg Intl Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Glg Intl Small on the next trading day is expected to be 86.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 2.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Glg Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Glg Intl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Glg Intl Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Glg Intl | Glg Intl Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Glg Intl Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Glg Intl's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Glg Intl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.72 and 89.16, respectively. We have considered Glg Intl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Glg Intl mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Glg Intl mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2333 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.788 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.2779 |
Predictive Modules for Glg Intl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glg Intl Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Glg Intl After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Glg Intl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Glg Intl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Glg Intl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Glg Intl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Glg Intl's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Glg Intl's historical news coverage. Glg Intl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.53 and 88.99, respectively. We have considered Glg Intl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Glg Intl is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Glg Intl Small is based on 3 months time horizon.
Glg Intl Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Glg Intl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Glg Intl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Glg Intl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.22 | 7.89 | 0.12 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
86.76 | 86.76 | 0.00 |
|
Glg Intl Hype Timeline
Glg Intl Small is currently traded for 86.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -7.89, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Glg is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 7.03%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Glg Intl is about 456.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.64. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Glg Intl Small last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Glg Intl to cross-verify your projections.Glg Intl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Glg Intl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Glg Intl's future price movements. Getting to know how Glg Intl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Glg Intl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PDVAX | Diversified Income Fund | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.30 | (0.20) | 0.90 | |
| QDARX | Aqr Diversified Arbitrage | (2.77) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.61) | 0.16 | (0.08) | 0.39 | |
| USCAX | Small Cap Stock | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.77 | 0.12 | 2.07 | (1.87) | 7.96 | |
| DLTZX | Delaware Limited Term Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.13 | (0.13) | 0.51 | |
| TSRPX | Tiaa Cref Small Cap Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.14 | 2.06 | (1.87) | 8.30 | |
| RTOUX | Tax Managed Mid Small | (0.19) | 1 per month | 0.78 | 0.05 | 1.92 | (1.43) | 4.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Glg Intl
For every potential investor in Glg, whether a beginner or expert, Glg Intl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Glg Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Glg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Glg Intl's price trends.Glg Intl Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Glg Intl mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Glg Intl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Glg Intl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Glg Intl Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Glg Intl mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Glg Intl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Glg Intl mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Glg Intl Small entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 86.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 86.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.26 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.51 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.99 |
Glg Intl Risk Indicators
The analysis of Glg Intl's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Glg Intl's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting glg mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9413 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7027 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4939 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Glg Intl
The number of cover stories for Glg Intl depends on current market conditions and Glg Intl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Glg Intl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Glg Intl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Glg Mutual Fund
Glg Intl financial ratios help investors to determine whether Glg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Glg with respect to the benefits of owning Glg Intl security.
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities |