Genfit SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| GNFTF Stock | USD 4.14 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Genfit SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.72. Genfit Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Genfit SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Genfit |
Genfit SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Genfit SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genfit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genfit SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Genfit SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Genfit SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Genfit SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genfit SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.86 and 5.71, respectively. We have considered Genfit SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genfit SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genfit SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7309 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0938 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.7203 |
Predictive Modules for Genfit SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genfit SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genfit SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Genfit SA
For every potential investor in Genfit, whether a beginner or expert, Genfit SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genfit Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genfit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genfit SA's price trends.Genfit SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genfit SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genfit SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genfit SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genfit SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Genfit SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Genfit SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Genfit SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genfit SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genfit SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genfit SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Genfit SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Genfit SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Genfit SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genfit SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genfit pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3369 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Genfit Pink Sheet
When determining whether Genfit SA is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Genfit Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Genfit Sa Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Genfit Sa Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genfit SA to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Genfit Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Genfit SA guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.