Gol Linhas Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

GOLL4 Preferred Stock  BRL 10.13  0.03  0.30%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gol Linhas Areas on the next trading day is expected to be 7.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.63. Gol Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Gol Linhas' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the preferred stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gol Linhas' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gol Linhas and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gol Linhas' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gol Linhas Areas, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gol Linhas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gol Linhas Areas from the perspective of Gol Linhas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gol Linhas Areas on the next trading day is expected to be 7.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.63.

Gol Linhas after-hype prediction price

    
  BRL 10.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gol Linhas to cross-verify your projections.

Gol Linhas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Gol Linhas price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Gol Linhas Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Gol Linhas Areas on the next trading day is expected to be 7.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gol Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gol Linhas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gol Linhas Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gol LinhasGol Linhas Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gol Linhas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gol Linhas' Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gol Linhas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.10 and 139.04, respectively. We have considered Gol Linhas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.13
7.89
Expected Value
139.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gol Linhas preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gol Linhas preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5686
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9448
MAPEMean absolute percentage error15.0853
SAESum of the absolute errors57.6312
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Gol Linhas Areas historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Gol Linhas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gol Linhas Areas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5110.131,023
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.326.381,019
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gol Linhas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gol Linhas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gol Linhas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gol Linhas Areas.

Other Forecasting Options for Gol Linhas

For every potential investor in Gol, whether a beginner or expert, Gol Linhas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gol Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gol Linhas' price trends.

Gol Linhas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gol Linhas preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gol Linhas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gol Linhas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gol Linhas Areas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gol Linhas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gol Linhas' current price.

Gol Linhas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gol Linhas preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gol Linhas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gol Linhas preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gol Linhas Areas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gol Linhas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gol Linhas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gol Linhas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gol preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Gol Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Gol Linhas' price analysis, check to measure Gol Linhas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gol Linhas is operating at the current time. Most of Gol Linhas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gol Linhas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gol Linhas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gol Linhas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.