GoTo Gojek Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GOTO Stock   72.00  2.00  2.70%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GoTo Gojek Tokopedia on the next trading day is expected to be 72.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.50. GoTo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for GoTo Gojek Tokopedia is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

GoTo Gojek 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GoTo Gojek Tokopedia on the next trading day is expected to be 72.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.59, mean absolute percentage error of 10.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GoTo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GoTo Gojek's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GoTo Gojek Stock Forecast Pattern

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GoTo Gojek Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GoTo Gojek's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GoTo Gojek's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.06 and 75.94, respectively. We have considered GoTo Gojek's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.00
72.50
Expected Value
75.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GoTo Gojek stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GoTo Gojek stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1016
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.8772
MADMean absolute deviation2.5877
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0394
SAESum of the absolute errors147.5
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of GoTo Gojek. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for GoTo Gojek Tokopedia and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for GoTo Gojek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GoTo Gojek Tokopedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.5672.0075.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.0556.4979.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.1668.2975.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GoTo Gojek

For every potential investor in GoTo, whether a beginner or expert, GoTo Gojek's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GoTo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GoTo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GoTo Gojek's price trends.

GoTo Gojek Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GoTo Gojek stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GoTo Gojek could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GoTo Gojek by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GoTo Gojek's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GoTo Gojek's current price.

GoTo Gojek Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GoTo Gojek stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GoTo Gojek shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GoTo Gojek stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GoTo Gojek Tokopedia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GoTo Gojek Risk Indicators

The analysis of GoTo Gojek's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GoTo Gojek's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in GoTo Stock

GoTo Gojek financial ratios help investors to determine whether GoTo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GoTo with respect to the benefits of owning GoTo Gojek security.