Graphite One OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Graphite One Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Graphite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graphite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graphite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Graphite One - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Graphite One prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Graphite One price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Graphite One.

Graphite One Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Graphite One on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.32.

Graphite One OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Graphite One Price Prediction

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Graphite One Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Graphite One otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Graphite One otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Graphite One observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Graphite One observations.

Predictive Modules for Graphite One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graphite One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.09 1.80 8.04 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.07 1.31 7.55 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 1.24 1.53 1.81 Details

Graphite One After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Graphite One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Graphite One OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Graphite One Hype Timeline

Graphite One is currently traded for 1.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Graphite is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Graphite One is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.80. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Graphite One recorded a loss per share of 0.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of March 2019. The firm had 1:10 split on the 18th of March 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Graphite One to cross-verify your projections.

Graphite One Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Graphite One

For every potential investor in Graphite, whether a beginner or expert, Graphite One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Graphite OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Graphite. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Graphite One's price trends.

Graphite One Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Graphite One Market Strength Events

Graphite One Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Graphite One

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Graphite OTC Stock