Gulfport Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GPOR Stock | USD 194.12 0.23 0.12% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gulfport Energy Operating on the next trading day is expected to be 203.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.26. Gulfport Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Gulfport Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gulfport Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gulfport Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Gulfport Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.6439 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.6163 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.4251 | Wall Street Target Price 226.1667 |
Using Gulfport Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gulfport Energy Operating from the perspective of Gulfport Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gulfport Energy using Gulfport Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gulfport using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gulfport Energy's stock price.
Gulfport Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Gulfport Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gulfport Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gulfport Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 186.4404 | Short Percent 0.0431 | Short Ratio 3.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 866.1 K | 50 Day MA 202.7642 |
Gulfport Energy Operating Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gulfport Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gulfport. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gulfport can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gulfport Energy Operating. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Gulfport Energy Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Gulfport Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gulfport Energy Operating stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gulfport Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gulfport Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gulfport Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gulfport Energy Operating on the next trading day is expected to be 203.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.26. Gulfport Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 194.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gulfport Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gulfport contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gulfport Energy Operating will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Gulfport Energy trading at USD 194.12, that is roughly USD 0.0558 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gulfport Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gulfport Energy Operating options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Gulfport Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gulfport Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gulfport Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gulfport Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gulfport Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gulfport Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gulfport Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gulfport. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gulfport Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gulfport price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gulfport using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gulfport charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gulfport Energy Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Gulfport Energy's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1997-12-31 | Previous Quarter 3.8 M | Current Value 3.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 154.5 M |
Gulfport Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gulfport Energy Operating on the next trading day is expected to be 203.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.39, mean absolute percentage error of 42.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gulfport Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gulfport Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gulfport Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gulfport Energy | Gulfport Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gulfport Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gulfport Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gulfport Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 200.70 and 205.29, respectively. We have considered Gulfport Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gulfport Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gulfport Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.6891 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.3913 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0269 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 334.2628 |
Predictive Modules for Gulfport Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulfport Energy Operating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulfport Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gulfport Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gulfport Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gulfport Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gulfport Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gulfport Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gulfport Energy's historical news coverage. Gulfport Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 191.84 and 196.44, respectively. We have considered Gulfport Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gulfport Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gulfport Energy Operating is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gulfport Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gulfport Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulfport Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gulfport Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.30 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
194.12 | 194.14 | 0.01 |
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Gulfport Energy Hype Timeline
Gulfport Energy Operating is currently traded for 194.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gulfport is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 194.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Gulfport Energy is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 194.12. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 928.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (261.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 820.94 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gulfport Energy to cross-verify your projections.Gulfport Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gulfport Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gulfport Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Gulfport Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gulfport Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAGP | Plains GP Holdings | (0.22) | 7 per month | 0.38 | 0.25 | 1.88 | (1.16) | 3.89 | |
| CRC | California Resources Corp | 0.17 | 15 per month | 1.57 | 0.01 | 3.41 | (3.01) | 8.01 | |
| RIG | Transocean | 0.01 | 12 per month | 1.88 | 0.19 | 5.53 | (3.37) | 20.08 | |
| MUR | Murphy Oil | (0.37) | 7 per month | 2.61 | 0.06 | 4.80 | (3.78) | 19.80 | |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals | 0.30 | 7 per month | 1.25 | 0.15 | 2.11 | (1.77) | 6.75 | |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil Gas | 0.17 | 13 per month | 1.60 | 0.01 | 2.70 | (2.81) | 6.80 | |
| CIVI | Civitas Resources | (0.15) | 10 per month | 2.36 | (0.01) | 3.75 | (4.19) | 11.71 | |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Co | (0.02) | 8 per month | 2.99 | 0.01 | 5.24 | (5.18) | 15.66 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | 0.28 | 21 per month | 1.69 | (0.01) | 3.24 | (2.67) | 12.30 | |
| KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | (0.17) | 26 per month | 1.93 | 0.09 | 3.17 | (2.63) | 9.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gulfport Energy
For every potential investor in Gulfport, whether a beginner or expert, Gulfport Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gulfport Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gulfport. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gulfport Energy's price trends.Gulfport Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gulfport Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gulfport Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gulfport Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gulfport Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gulfport Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gulfport Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gulfport Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gulfport Energy Operating entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6222.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.04) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 195.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 194.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.23) |
Gulfport Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gulfport Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gulfport Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gulfport stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gulfport Energy
The number of cover stories for Gulfport Energy depends on current market conditions and Gulfport Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gulfport Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gulfport Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gulfport Energy Short Properties
Gulfport Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gulfport Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gulfport Energy Operating often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gulfport Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulfport Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Additional Tools for Gulfport Stock Analysis
When running Gulfport Energy's price analysis, check to measure Gulfport Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulfport Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Gulfport Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulfport Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulfport Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulfport Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.