Black Stone Minerals Stock Price Prediction
| BSM Stock | USD 15.38 0.18 1.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.497 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.36 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.49 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.475 | Wall Street Target Price 14 |
Using Black Stone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Black Stone Minerals from the perspective of Black Stone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Black Stone to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Black because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Black Stone after-hype prediction price | USD 15.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Black |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Black Stone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Black Stone After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Black Stone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Black Stone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Black Stone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Black Stone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Black Stone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Black Stone's historical news coverage. Black Stone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.37 and 16.41, respectively. We have considered Black Stone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Black Stone is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Black Stone Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Black Stone Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Black Stone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Black Stone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Black Stone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.38 | 15.39 | 0.07 |
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Black Stone Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Black Stone Minerals is traded for 15.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Black is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Black Stone is about 275.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.42. The company reported the last year's revenue of 501.1 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 422.55 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 692.62 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Black Stone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Black Stone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Black Stone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Black Stone's future price movements. Getting to know how Black Stone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Black Stone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DMLP | Dorchester Minerals LP | 0.10 | 6 per month | 0.83 | 0.06 | 2.24 | (1.64) | 5.91 | |
| STR | Sitio Royalties Corp | 0.31 | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.04 | 3.96 | (2.62) | 8.57 | |
| MVO | MV Oil Trust | (0.02) | 5 per month | 1.41 | (0.05) | 2.69 | (2.41) | 7.24 | |
| VOC | VOC Energy Trust | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.27 | (0.01) | 2.78 | (4.11) | 11.00 | |
| CRT | Cross Timbers Royalty | 0.1 | 5 per month | 1.64 | 0.02 | 4.27 | (2.86) | 13.90 | |
| KRP | Kimbell Royalty Partners | 0.41 | 8 per month | 1.05 | (0.06) | 1.98 | (1.89) | 5.08 | |
| SBR | Sabine Royalty Trust | 0.90 | 6 per month | 0.90 | (0.10) | 1.44 | (1.41) | 5.27 | |
| PRT | PermRock Royalty Trust | 0.02 | 4 per month | 1.94 | (0.07) | 2.57 | (3.19) | 8.80 | |
| PXD | Pioneer Natural Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.43 | (2.71) | 6.32 | |
| DVN | Devon Energy | (0.09) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.17 | (2.95) | 7.21 | |
| EQT | EQT Corporation | 1.50 | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.19 | 3.68 | (2.07) | 8.85 | |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | 1.23 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.00 | (3.91) | 9.60 | |
| COP | ConocoPhillips | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.51 | (0.05) | 2.59 | (3.24) | 7.92 |
Black Stone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Black price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Black using various technical indicators. When you analyze Black charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Black Stone Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Black Stone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Black Stone Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Black Stone based on analysis of Black Stone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Black Stone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Black Stone's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.092 | 0.0972 | 0.0646 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.99 | 5.32 | 12.69 |
Story Coverage note for Black Stone
The number of cover stories for Black Stone depends on current market conditions and Black Stone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Black Stone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Black Stone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Black Stone Short Properties
Black Stone's future price predictability will typically decrease when Black Stone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Black Stone Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Black Stone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Stone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.3 M |
Check out Black Stone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Black Stone. If investors know Black will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Black Stone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.497 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 1.62 | Revenue Per Share 2.172 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
The market value of Black Stone Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Black that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Black Stone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Black Stone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Black Stone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Black Stone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Black Stone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Black Stone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Black Stone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.