Green Plains Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| GPRE Stock | USD 13.85 1.19 9.40% |
Green Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Green Plains stock prices and determine the direction of Green Plains Renewable's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Green Plains' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Green Plains' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1626 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4803 | Wall Street Target Price 12.3333 |
Using Green Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Green Plains Renewable from the perspective of Green Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Green Plains using Green Plains' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Green using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Green Plains' stock price.
Green Plains Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Green Plains' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Green. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Green Plains stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 8.425 | Short Percent 0.185 | Short Ratio 13.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.8 M | 50 Day MA 10.496 |
Green Relative Strength Index
Green Plains Renewable Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Green Plains' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Green. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Green can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Green Plains Renewable. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Green Plains' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Green Plains.
Green Plains Implied Volatility | 1.19 |
Green Plains' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Green Plains Renewable stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Green Plains' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Green Plains stock will not fluctuate a lot when Green Plains' options are near their expiration.
Green Plains after-hype prediction price | USD 14.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Green Plains to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Green contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Green Plains Renewable will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0744% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Green Plains trading at USD 13.85, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Green Plains' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Green Plains Renewable options at the current volatility level of 1.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Green Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Green Plains' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Green Plains' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Green Plains stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Green Plains' open interest, investors have to compare it to Green Plains' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Green Plains is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Green. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Green Plains Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Green price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Green using various technical indicators. When you analyze Green charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.71) | 0.88 |
| Check Green Plains Volatility | Backtest Green Plains | Information Ratio |
Green Plains Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2026 Green Plains Renewable was traded for 13.85 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 14.26 and the lowest listed price was 12.86 . The trading volume for the day was 2.5 M. The trading history from February 6, 2026 did not cause price change. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 6.06% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Green Plains to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Green Plains
For every potential investor in Green, whether a beginner or expert, Green Plains' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Green Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Green. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Green Plains' price trends.Green Plains Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Green Plains stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Green Plains could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Green Plains by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Green Plains Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Green Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Green Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Green Plains stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Green Plains Renewable entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 247214.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.85 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.09 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.56 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.88 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.19 |
Green Plains Risk Indicators
The analysis of Green Plains' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Green Plains' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting green stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.08 | |||
| Variance | 16.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Green Plains
The number of cover stories for Green Plains depends on current market conditions and Green Plains' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Green Plains is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Green Plains' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Green Plains Short Properties
Green Plains' future price predictability will typically decrease when Green Plains' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Green Plains Renewable often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Green Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Green Plains to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Green diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. Market participants price Green higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Green Plains data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Earnings Share (2.86) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Green Plains Renewable requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Green's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Green Plains' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Green Plains' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Green Plains' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.