US Global Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GROW Stock | USD 2.63 0.01 0.38% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of US Global Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.21. GROW Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of US Global's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling US Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using US Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Global Investors from the perspective of US Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of US Global Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.21. US Global after-hype prediction price | USD 2.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Global to cross-verify your projections. US Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GROW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GROW using various technical indicators. When you analyze GROW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
US Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of US Global Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 2.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GROW Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that US Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
US Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest US Global | US Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
US Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting US Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. US Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.63 and 4.63, respectively. We have considered US Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of US Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent US Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.1865 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0369 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.2115 |
Predictive Modules for US Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Global Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.US Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of US Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of US Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
US Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting US Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Global's historical news coverage. US Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.63 and 4.63, respectively. We have considered US Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
US Global is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Global Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
US Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as US Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.63 | 2.63 | 0.00 |
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US Global Hype Timeline
US Global Investors is currently traded for 2.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GROW is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on US Global is about 20000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.63. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. US Global Investors last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of March 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of US Global to cross-verify your projections.US Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to US Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Global's future price movements. Getting to know how US Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LCAP | Principal Capital Appreciation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | (0.09) | 1.18 | (1.60) | 3.65 | |
| BCG | Binah Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.48 | 0.08 | 18.27 | (11.54) | 60.99 | |
| AHG | Akso Health Group | (0.04) | 10 per month | 3.98 | (0.01) | 11.59 | (7.10) | 26.06 | |
| RAND | Rand Capital Corp | 0.10 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.49 | (8.40) | 20.24 | |
| ZBAO | Zhibao Technology Class | 0.08 | 7 per month | 5.68 | 0.02 | 12.22 | (9.43) | 52.54 | |
| DYCQ | DT Cloud Acquisition | 0.00 | 10 per month | 2.93 | (0.01) | 5.98 | (1.48) | 28.17 | |
| PDPA | Pearl Diver Credit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | (0.18) | 0.48 | (0.48) | 2.22 | |
| KFFB | Kentucky First Federal | (0.02) | 4 per month | 3.81 | 0.07 | 8.25 | (6.61) | 18.06 | |
| EQS | Equus Total Return | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.56 | (6.63) | 14.02 | |
| ICMB | Investcorp Credit Management | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.66 | (0.02) | 2.60 | (2.11) | 8.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for US Global
For every potential investor in GROW, whether a beginner or expert, US Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GROW Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GROW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying US Global's price trends.US Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with US Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of US Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
US Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how US Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading US Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying US Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify US Global Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
US Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of US Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in US Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grow stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for US Global
The number of cover stories for US Global depends on current market conditions and US Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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US Global Short Properties
US Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when US Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of US Global Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential US Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.2 M |
Additional Tools for GROW Stock Analysis
When running US Global's price analysis, check to measure US Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Global is operating at the current time. Most of US Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.