GrowGeneration Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GRWG Stock  USD 1.58  0.01  0.64%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GrowGeneration Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.81. GrowGeneration Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GrowGeneration Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the value of rsi of GrowGeneration Corp's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GrowGeneration Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GrowGeneration Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GrowGeneration Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GrowGeneration Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GrowGeneration Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.147
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.35)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.17)
Wall Street Target Price
2
Using GrowGeneration Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GrowGeneration Corp from the perspective of GrowGeneration Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GrowGeneration Corp using GrowGeneration Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GrowGeneration using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GrowGeneration Corp's stock price.

GrowGeneration Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in GrowGeneration Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards GrowGeneration. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of GrowGeneration Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
1.3571
Short Percent
0.0254
Short Ratio
2.51
Shares Short Prior Month
1.4 M
50 Day MA
1.6132

GrowGeneration Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to GrowGeneration Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GrowGeneration. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GrowGeneration can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GrowGeneration Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GrowGeneration Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GrowGeneration Corp.

GrowGeneration Corp Implied Volatility

    
  1.34  
GrowGeneration Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GrowGeneration Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GrowGeneration Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GrowGeneration Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when GrowGeneration Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GrowGeneration Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.81.

GrowGeneration Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GrowGeneration Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in GrowGeneration Stock please use our How to Invest in GrowGeneration Corp guide.The GrowGeneration Corp's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.30, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.09. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 38.8 M. The GrowGeneration Corp's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (140 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 GrowGeneration Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GrowGeneration Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GrowGeneration Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GrowGeneration Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GrowGeneration Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to GrowGeneration Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GrowGeneration Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GrowGeneration. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

GrowGeneration Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GrowGeneration price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GrowGeneration using various technical indicators. When you analyze GrowGeneration charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

GrowGeneration Corp Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the GrowGeneration Corp's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-03-31
Previous Quarter
23.3 M
Current Value
27.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
33 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for GrowGeneration Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of GrowGeneration Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

GrowGeneration Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GrowGeneration Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GrowGeneration Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GrowGeneration Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GrowGeneration Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GrowGeneration CorpGrowGeneration Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GrowGeneration Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GrowGeneration Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GrowGeneration Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.57, respectively. We have considered GrowGeneration Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.58
1.36
Expected Value
8.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GrowGeneration Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GrowGeneration Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3342
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1116
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0674
SAESum of the absolute errors6.8095
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of GrowGeneration Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict GrowGeneration Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for GrowGeneration Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GrowGeneration Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GrowGeneration Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.578.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.718.93
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.08-0.08-0.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GrowGeneration Corp

For every potential investor in GrowGeneration, whether a beginner or expert, GrowGeneration Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GrowGeneration Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GrowGeneration. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GrowGeneration Corp's price trends.

GrowGeneration Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GrowGeneration Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GrowGeneration Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GrowGeneration Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GrowGeneration Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GrowGeneration Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GrowGeneration Corp's current price.

GrowGeneration Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GrowGeneration Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GrowGeneration Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GrowGeneration Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GrowGeneration Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GrowGeneration Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of GrowGeneration Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GrowGeneration Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting growgeneration stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether GrowGeneration Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze GrowGeneration Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GrowGeneration Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GrowGeneration Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GrowGeneration Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in GrowGeneration Stock please use our How to Invest in GrowGeneration Corp guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Home Improvement Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GrowGeneration Corp. If investors know GrowGeneration will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GrowGeneration Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.147
Earnings Share
(0.67)
Revenue Per Share
2.711
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.1)
The market value of GrowGeneration Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GrowGeneration that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GrowGeneration Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GrowGeneration Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GrowGeneration Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GrowGeneration Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GrowGeneration Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GrowGeneration Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GrowGeneration Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.