Goldman Sachs Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| GSBD Stock | USD 13.08 0.10 0.76% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Goldman Sachs BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 12.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.37. Goldman Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Goldman Sachs stock prices and determine the direction of Goldman Sachs BDC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Goldman Sachs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Goldman |
Goldman Sachs 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Goldman Sachs BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 12.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goldman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goldman Sachs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Goldman Sachs Stock Forecast Pattern
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Goldman Sachs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Goldman Sachs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goldman Sachs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.03 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered Goldman Sachs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goldman Sachs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goldman Sachs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.2077 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0239 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1293 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.3675 |
Predictive Modules for Goldman Sachs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldman Sachs BDC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Goldman Sachs
For every potential investor in Goldman, whether a beginner or expert, Goldman Sachs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goldman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goldman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goldman Sachs' price trends.Goldman Sachs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goldman Sachs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goldman Sachs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goldman Sachs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Goldman Sachs BDC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goldman Sachs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goldman Sachs' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Goldman Sachs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goldman Sachs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goldman Sachs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goldman Sachs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Goldman Sachs BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7015.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
Goldman Sachs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Goldman Sachs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goldman Sachs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goldman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6933 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9348 | |||
| Variance | 0.8738 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Goldman Sachs BDC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Goldman Sachs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Goldman Sachs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Goldman Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldman Sachs to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goldman Sachs. If investors know Goldman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goldman Sachs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share 0.68 | Revenue Per Share 3.955 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of Goldman Sachs BDC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goldman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goldman Sachs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goldman Sachs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goldman Sachs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goldman Sachs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Goldman Sachs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Goldman Sachs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goldman Sachs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.