Goldman Sachs Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GSBD Stock  USD 9.28  0.03  0.32%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goldman Sachs BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.76. Goldman Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Goldman Sachs stock prices and determine the direction of Goldman Sachs BDC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Goldman Sachs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of Goldman Sachs' share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 80

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Goldman Sachs' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Goldman Sachs and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Goldman Sachs' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Goldman Sachs BDC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Goldman Sachs' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3475
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.534
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.306
Wall Street Target Price
10.3125
Using Goldman Sachs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goldman Sachs BDC from the perspective of Goldman Sachs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Goldman Sachs using Goldman Sachs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Goldman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Goldman Sachs' stock price.

Goldman Sachs Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Goldman Sachs' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Goldman. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Goldman Sachs stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
10.7907
Short Percent
0.0149
Short Ratio
1.35
Shares Short Prior Month
1.9 M
50 Day MA
9.7864

Goldman Sachs BDC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Goldman Sachs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Goldman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Goldman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Goldman Sachs BDC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Goldman Sachs' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Goldman Sachs.

Goldman Sachs Implied Volatility

    
  0.63  
Goldman Sachs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Goldman Sachs BDC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Goldman Sachs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Goldman Sachs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Goldman Sachs' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goldman Sachs BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.76.

Goldman Sachs after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldman Sachs to cross-verify your projections.
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to -0.53. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 1.32. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 138.5 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 77.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Goldman Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Goldman Sachs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Goldman Sachs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Goldman Sachs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Goldman Sachs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Goldman Sachs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Goldman Sachs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Goldman. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Goldman Sachs Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Goldman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goldman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goldman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Goldman Sachs simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Goldman Sachs BDC are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Goldman Sachs BDC prices get older.

Goldman Sachs Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goldman Sachs BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goldman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goldman Sachs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goldman Sachs Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Goldman Sachs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goldman Sachs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goldman Sachs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.18 and 10.38, respectively. We have considered Goldman Sachs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.28
9.28
Expected Value
10.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goldman Sachs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goldman Sachs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7619
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.002
MADMean absolute deviation0.0793
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors4.76
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Goldman Sachs BDC forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Goldman Sachs observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Goldman Sachs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldman Sachs BDC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.189.2810.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.749.8410.94
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.3810.3111.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goldman Sachs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goldman Sachs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goldman Sachs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goldman Sachs BDC.

Other Forecasting Options for Goldman Sachs

For every potential investor in Goldman, whether a beginner or expert, Goldman Sachs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goldman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goldman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goldman Sachs' price trends.

Goldman Sachs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goldman Sachs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goldman Sachs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goldman Sachs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goldman Sachs BDC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goldman Sachs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goldman Sachs' current price.

Goldman Sachs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goldman Sachs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goldman Sachs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goldman Sachs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Goldman Sachs BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goldman Sachs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goldman Sachs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goldman Sachs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goldman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Goldman Sachs BDC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Goldman Sachs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Goldman Sachs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Goldman Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldman Sachs to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goldman Sachs. If investors know Goldman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goldman Sachs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
Dividend Share
0.45
Earnings Share
1.15
Revenue Per Share
3.289
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Goldman Sachs BDC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goldman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goldman Sachs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goldman Sachs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goldman Sachs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goldman Sachs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Goldman Sachs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Goldman Sachs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goldman Sachs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.