Gray Television Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GTN Stock | USD 4.51 0.22 5.13% |
Gray Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Gray Television's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gray Television's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gray Television fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Gray Television's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gray Television, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.164 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.97) | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.93 | Wall Street Target Price 6.4 |
Using Gray Television hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gray Television from the perspective of Gray Television response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gray Television using Gray Television's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gray using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gray Television's stock price.
Gray Television Short Interest
An investor who is long Gray Television may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gray Television and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gray Television with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.7596 | Short Percent 0.0598 | Short Ratio 4.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 4.7308 |
Gray Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gray Television on the next trading day is expected to be 4.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.41.Gray Television Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gray Television's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gray. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gray can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gray Television. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gray Television's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gray Television.
Gray Television Implied Volatility | 1.3 |
Gray Television's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gray Television stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gray Television's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gray Television stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gray Television's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gray Television on the next trading day is expected to be 4.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.41. Gray Television after-hype prediction price | USD 4.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gray Television to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gray Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gray Television's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gray Television's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gray Television stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gray Television's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gray Television's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gray Television is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gray. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gray Television Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gray price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gray using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gray charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gray Television Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Gray Television on the next trading day is expected to be 4.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gray Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gray Television's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gray Television Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gray Television | Gray Television Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gray Television Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gray Television's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gray Television's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.48 and 7.55, respectively. We have considered Gray Television's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gray Television stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gray Television stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4747 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2198 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0463 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.4068 |
Predictive Modules for Gray Television
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gray Television. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gray Television's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gray Television After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gray Television at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gray Television or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gray Television, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gray Television Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gray Television's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gray Television's historical news coverage. Gray Television's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.48 and 7.54, respectively. We have considered Gray Television's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gray Television is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gray Television is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gray Television Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gray Television is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gray Television backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gray Television, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.51 | 4.51 | 0.00 |
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Gray Television Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Gray Television is traded for 4.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Gray is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gray Television is about 2148.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.52. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.2. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gray Television has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of October 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gray Television to cross-verify your projections.Gray Television Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gray Television's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gray Television's future price movements. Getting to know how Gray Television's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gray Television may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IHRT | iHeartMedia Class A | 0.50 | 7 per month | 3.31 | 0.02 | 12.38 | (5.90) | 44.17 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.06 | (6.82) | 22.81 | |
| WOW | WideOpenWest | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.92 | (0.49) | 462.61 | |
| NCMI | National CineMedia | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.00 | (3.74) | 15.70 | |
| PERI | Perion Network | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.82 | (2.75) | 14.14 | |
| TTGT | TechTarget Common Stock | 0.55 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.93 | (5.21) | 15.02 | |
| JFIN | Jiayin Group | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.01 | (5.74) | 16.66 | |
| SSP | E W Scripps | 0.20 | 11 per month | 3.77 | 0.1 | 7.52 | (6.60) | 53.49 | |
| BOC | Boston Omaha Corp | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.17 | (2.61) | 16.99 | |
| ATEX | Anterix | 0.08 | 9 per month | 2.57 | 0.11 | 7.64 | (4.69) | 20.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gray Television
For every potential investor in Gray, whether a beginner or expert, Gray Television's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gray Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gray. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gray Television's price trends.Gray Television Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gray Television stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gray Television could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gray Television by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gray Television Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gray Television stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gray Television shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gray Television stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gray Television entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gray Television Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gray Television's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gray Television's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gray stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Variance | 8.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gray Television
The number of cover stories for Gray Television depends on current market conditions and Gray Television's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gray Television is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gray Television's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gray Television Short Properties
Gray Television's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gray Television's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gray Television often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gray Television's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gray Television's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gray Television to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gray Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gray Television guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Will Broadcasting sector continue expanding? Could Gray diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gray Television. Market participants price Gray higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Gray Television data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.164 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 0.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of Gray Television is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gray that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gray Television's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gray Television's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Gray Television's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gray Television's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gray Television's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gray Television is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Gray Television's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.