Graphisoft Park Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GUV Stock | EUR 13.80 0.50 3.76% |
Graphisoft Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Graphisoft Park's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Graphisoft Park's stock price is roughly 60. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 4th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Graphisoft, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Graphisoft Park hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Graphisoft Park SE from the perspective of Graphisoft Park response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Graphisoft Park SE on the next trading day is expected to be 13.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.85. Graphisoft Park after-hype prediction price | EUR 13.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Graphisoft |
Graphisoft Park Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Graphisoft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graphisoft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graphisoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Graphisoft Park Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Graphisoft Park SE on the next trading day is expected to be 13.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Graphisoft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Graphisoft Park's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Graphisoft Park Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Graphisoft Park | Graphisoft Park Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Graphisoft Park Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Graphisoft Park's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Graphisoft Park's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.67 and 17.38, respectively. We have considered Graphisoft Park's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Graphisoft Park stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Graphisoft Park stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5101 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0946 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2141 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0171 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.8469 |
Predictive Modules for Graphisoft Park
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graphisoft Park SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graphisoft Park After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Graphisoft Park at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Graphisoft Park or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Graphisoft Park, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Graphisoft Park Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Graphisoft Park's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Graphisoft Park's historical news coverage. Graphisoft Park's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.41 and 17.15, respectively. We have considered Graphisoft Park's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Graphisoft Park is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Graphisoft Park SE is based on 3 months time horizon.
Graphisoft Park Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Graphisoft Park is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graphisoft Park backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Graphisoft Park, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 3.86 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.80 | 13.28 | 0.15 |
|
Graphisoft Park Hype Timeline
Graphisoft Park SE is currently traded for 13.80on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Graphisoft is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Graphisoft Park is about 2675.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.88. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Graphisoft Park SE last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Graphisoft Park to cross-verify your projections.Graphisoft Park Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Graphisoft Park's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Graphisoft Park's future price movements. Getting to know how Graphisoft Park's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Graphisoft Park may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.30 | 7 per month | 3.28 | 0.1 | 6.70 | (5.65) | 20.66 | |
| GG7 | GRIFFIN MINING LTD | 0.14 | 6 per month | 1.15 | 0.26 | 5.79 | (2.65) | 12.04 | |
| 2LH | MOVIE GAMES SA | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.59 | (5.82) | 15.43 | |
| US8 | MCEWEN MINING INC | (0.10) | 8 per month | 4.10 | 0.1 | 8.75 | (6.42) | 18.50 | |
| COE | Coor Service Management | 0.1 | 6 per month | 1.83 | 0.08 | 3.62 | (2.94) | 9.81 | |
| UWS | Waste Management | 0.66 | 9 per month | 1.13 | 0.11 | 1.92 | (1.54) | 6.20 | |
| G4A | GEAR4MUSIC LS 10 | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.64 | 0.04 | 7.93 | (4.02) | 22.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Graphisoft Park
For every potential investor in Graphisoft, whether a beginner or expert, Graphisoft Park's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Graphisoft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Graphisoft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Graphisoft Park's price trends.Graphisoft Park Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Graphisoft Park stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Graphisoft Park could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graphisoft Park by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Graphisoft Park Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Graphisoft Park stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Graphisoft Park shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Graphisoft Park stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Graphisoft Park SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Graphisoft Park Risk Indicators
The analysis of Graphisoft Park's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Graphisoft Park's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting graphisoft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Variance | 14.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Graphisoft Park
The number of cover stories for Graphisoft Park depends on current market conditions and Graphisoft Park's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Graphisoft Park is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Graphisoft Park's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Graphisoft Stock
Graphisoft Park financial ratios help investors to determine whether Graphisoft Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Graphisoft with respect to the benefits of owning Graphisoft Park security.