Gabelli Value Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Gabelli Value Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gabelli price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gabelli using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gabelli charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Gabelli Value simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for The Gabelli Value are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Gabelli Value prices get older.

Gabelli Value Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Gabelli Value on the next trading day is expected to be 12.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56.

Gabelli Value Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Gabelli Value Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Gabelli Value Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gabelli Value mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gabelli Value mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting The Gabelli Value forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Gabelli Value observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gabelli Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 11.55 12.35 13.15 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 11.12 13.20 14.00 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gabelli Value. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gabelli Value's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gabelli Value's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gabelli Value.

Gabelli Value After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Gabelli Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Gabelli Value Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Gabelli Value Hype Timeline

Gabelli Value is currently traded for 12.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Gabelli is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 7.45%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gabelli Value is about 68.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.08. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gabelli Value to cross-verify your projections.

Gabelli Value Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Gabelli Value

For every potential investor in Gabelli, whether a beginner or expert, Gabelli Value's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gabelli Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gabelli. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gabelli Value's price trends.

Gabelli Value Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Gabelli Value Market Strength Events

Gabelli Value Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Gabelli Value

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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund