Globavend Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GVH Stock | 1.24 0.05 3.88% |
Globavend Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Globavend Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Globavend Holdings' share price is approaching 31. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Globavend Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Globavend Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globavend Holdings Limited from the perspective of Globavend Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Globavend Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11. Globavend Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Globavend | Build AI portfolio with Globavend Stock |
Globavend Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globavend price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globavend using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globavend charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Globavend Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Globavend Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globavend Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globavend Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Globavend Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Globavend Holdings | Globavend Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Globavend Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Globavend Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globavend Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 11.36, respectively. We have considered Globavend Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globavend Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globavend Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2573 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0919 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1882 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0812 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.105 |
Predictive Modules for Globavend Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globavend Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Globavend Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Globavend Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globavend Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globavend Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globavend Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globavend Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globavend Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globavend Holdings' historical news coverage. Globavend Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 11.36, respectively. We have considered Globavend Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globavend Holdings is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globavend Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globavend Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globavend Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globavend Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globavend Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.66 | 10.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.24 | 1.24 | 0.00 |
|
Globavend Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Globavend Holdings is traded for 1.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Globavend is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.66%. %. The volatility of related hype on Globavend Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.24. About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Globavend Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.44. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:200 split on the 21st of July 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globavend Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Globavend Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globavend Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globavend Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Globavend Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globavend Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASTC | Astrotech Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.70 | (0.01) | 6.67 | (8.71) | 25.08 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| IPDN | Professional Diversity Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 6.47 | (11.28) | 28.74 | |
| ATXG | Addentax Group Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.38 | (8.11) | 19.94 | |
| AEHL | Antelope Enterprise Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.82 | (0) | 10.83 | (17.77) | 134.82 | |
| DFSC | DEFSEC Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.41 | (9.62) | 36.66 | |
| GLXG | Galaxy Payroll Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 10.30 | (14.81) | 53.25 | |
| CHNR | China Natural Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.87 | (6.68) | 29.14 | |
| JCSE | JE Cleantech Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.59 | 0.1 | 17.12 | (8.05) | 110.44 | |
| LNKS | Linkers Industries Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.07 | 0.11 | 12.90 | (10.00) | 32.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Globavend Holdings
For every potential investor in Globavend, whether a beginner or expert, Globavend Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globavend Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globavend. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globavend Holdings' price trends.Globavend Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globavend Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globavend Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globavend Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Globavend Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globavend Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globavend Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globavend Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globavend Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Globavend Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Globavend Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globavend Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globavend stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.12 | |||
| Variance | 102.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Globavend Holdings
The number of cover stories for Globavend Holdings depends on current market conditions and Globavend Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globavend Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globavend Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Globavend Holdings Short Properties
Globavend Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Globavend Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globavend Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globavend Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globavend Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globavend Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Globavend introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Globavend Holdings. Market participants price Globavend higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Globavend Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Globavend Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Globavend's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Globavend Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Globavend Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Globavend Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Globavend Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Globavend Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.