Lennox International Stock Price Prediction

LII Stock  USD 657.69  7.09  1.09%   
As of 25th of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lennox International's share price is at 59. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lennox International, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

59

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lennox International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lennox International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lennox International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.83
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
21.0951
EPS Estimate Next Year
23.333
Wall Street Target Price
607.4375
Using Lennox International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lennox International from the perspective of Lennox International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Lennox International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lennox International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lennox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lennox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lennox International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lennox International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lennox International.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lennox International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lennox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lennox International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 653.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lennox International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lennox Stock please use our How to Invest in Lennox International guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
430.72432.33723.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
650.45652.06653.67
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
361.92397.71441.46
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.225.275.34
Details

Lennox International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lennox International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lennox International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lennox International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lennox International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lennox International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lennox International's historical news coverage. Lennox International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 651.63 and 723.46, respectively. We have considered Lennox International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
657.69
651.63
Downside
653.24
After-hype Price
723.46
Upside
Lennox International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lennox International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lennox International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lennox International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lennox International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lennox International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.61
  4.45 
  0.10 
11 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
657.69
653.24
0.68 
7.96  
Notes

Lennox International Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Lennox International is traded for 657.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -4.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Lennox is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 653.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 7.96%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Lennox International is about 368.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 657.59. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. Lennox International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. The firm had 1:20 split on the 7th of April 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Lennox International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lennox Stock please use our How to Invest in Lennox International guide.

Lennox International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lennox International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lennox International's future price movements. Getting to know how Lennox International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lennox International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CARRCarrier Global Corp 1.33 11 per month 1.85  0.02  2.39 (1.87) 11.86 
JCIJohnson Controls International 0.27 10 per month 0.83  0.09  2.49 (1.66) 10.49 
MASMasco(0.49)11 per month 1.16 (0.08) 1.64 (1.94) 6.15 
CSLCarlisle Companies Incorporated(5.05)8 per month 1.90  0.01  2.58 (1.93) 12.15 
FBINFortune Brands Innovations 3.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.51 (2.72) 10.07 
TTTrane Technologies plc(3.56)6 per month 1.26  0.11  2.36 (1.84) 6.50 
DOORMasonite International Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.72  0.04  3.56 (3.37) 10.68 
JBIJanus International Group 0.1 7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.06 (4.22) 33.52 
ROCKGibraltar Industries(0.25)9 per month 1.63 (0) 2.88 (2.19) 8.68 
NXQuanex Building Products(0.31)12 per month 2.55  0.03  4.43 (2.75) 32.55 
TILEInterface(0.31)10 per month 1.29  0.11  3.44 (2.83) 34.53 
TREXTrex Company(1.83)10 per month 1.75  0.03  3.40 (2.93) 10.25 
AWIArmstrong World Industries 0.94 8 per month 0.56  0.21  2.35 (1.38) 5.22 
APOGApogee Enterprises(0.06)11 per month 1.59  0.09  3.73 (2.93) 28.75 

Lennox International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lennox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lennox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lennox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lennox International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lennox International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lennox International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lennox International based on analysis of Lennox International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lennox International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lennox International's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01050.01660.0096560.0191
Price To Sales Ratio2.881.813.193.35

Story Coverage note for Lennox International

The number of cover stories for Lennox International depends on current market conditions and Lennox International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lennox International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lennox International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lennox International Short Properties

Lennox International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lennox International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lennox International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lennox International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lennox International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.1 M

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When running Lennox International's price analysis, check to measure Lennox International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lennox International is operating at the current time. Most of Lennox International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lennox International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lennox International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lennox International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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