GP Solutions Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GWPD Stock | USD 0.0005 0.00 0.00% |
GWPD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GP Solutions stock prices and determine the direction of GP Solutions's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of GP Solutions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of GP Solutions' share price is approaching 36. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GP Solutions, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using GP Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GP Solutions from the perspective of GP Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GP Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20. GP Solutions after-hype prediction price | USD 4.68E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GP Solutions to cross-verify your projections. GP Solutions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GWPD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GWPD using various technical indicators. When you analyze GWPD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GP Solutions Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GP Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GWPD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GP Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GP Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GP Solutions | GP Solutions Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GP Solutions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GP Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GP Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000005 and 126.81, respectively. We have considered GP Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GP Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GP Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.2592 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0033 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 3.3333 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1993 |
Predictive Modules for GP Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GP Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GP Solutions After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GP Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GP Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GP Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GP Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GP Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GP Solutions' historical news coverage. GP Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.03, respectively. We have considered GP Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GP Solutions is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GP Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
GP Solutions Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GP Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GP Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GP Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
14.29 | 126.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0005 | 0.0005 | 6.44 |
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GP Solutions Hype Timeline
GP Solutions is currently traded for 0.0005. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GWPD is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.68E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 14.29%. The volatility of related hype on GP Solutions is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of October 2018. GP Solutions had 1:200 split on the 2nd of October 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GP Solutions to cross-verify your projections.GP Solutions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GP Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GP Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how GP Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GP Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMMX | AmeraMex International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.31 | 0.04 | 14.29 | (8.33) | 33.57 | |
| CAPC | Capstone Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.29 | 0.08 | 33.33 | (21.05) | 129.33 | |
| BLIS | Treasure Shipwreck Recovery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.33 | 0.07 | 30.95 | (27.27) | 94.50 | |
| AWRY | Allegheny And Western | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CUBXF | CubicFarm Systems Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 17.13 | 0.12 | 84.29 | (51.22) | 379.00 | |
| VVWT | VIVA World Trade | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.79 | 0.14 | 50.00 | (37.50) | 115.67 | |
| PRPI | Perpetual Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | (9.50) | 42.49 | |
| IWAL | iWallet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | (4.57) | 32.79 | |
| RJDG | Rjd Green | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.03 | (0.01) | 13.56 | (9.26) | 36.39 | |
| SAHN | Saudi American Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for GP Solutions
For every potential investor in GWPD, whether a beginner or expert, GP Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GWPD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GWPD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GP Solutions' price trends.GP Solutions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GP Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GP Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GP Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GP Solutions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GP Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GP Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GP Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GP Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 36.58 |
GP Solutions Risk Indicators
The analysis of GP Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GP Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gwpd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1489.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6142.47 | |||
| Variance | 3.772988895E7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GP Solutions
The number of cover stories for GP Solutions depends on current market conditions and GP Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GP Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GP Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GP Solutions to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade GWPD Stock refer to our How to Trade GWPD Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector continue expanding? Could GWPD diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GP Solutions. Market participants price GWPD higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every GP Solutions data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of GP Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GWPD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GP Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GP Solutions' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because GP Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GP Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GP Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GP Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, GP Solutions' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.