Gyrodyne Company Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GYRO Stock  USD 8.74  0.75  7.90%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Gyrodyne Company of on the next trading day is expected to be 8.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.65. Gyrodyne Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Gyrodyne Company's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gyrodyne Company's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gyrodyne Company fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Gyrodyne Company's Receivables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.17, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.24. . As of the 22nd of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 1.6 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (4.1 M).
Gyrodyne Company polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Gyrodyne Company of as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Gyrodyne Company Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Gyrodyne Company of on the next trading day is expected to be 8.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 2.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gyrodyne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gyrodyne Company's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gyrodyne Company Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gyrodyne CompanyGyrodyne Company Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gyrodyne Company Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gyrodyne Company's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gyrodyne Company's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.09 and 148.94, respectively. We have considered Gyrodyne Company's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.74
8.87
Expected Value
148.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gyrodyne Company stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gyrodyne Company stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.9519
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9782
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors60.6493
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Gyrodyne Company historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Gyrodyne Company

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gyrodyne Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.356.98880.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.346.76880.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.1510.1011.05
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gyrodyne Company

For every potential investor in Gyrodyne, whether a beginner or expert, Gyrodyne Company's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gyrodyne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gyrodyne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gyrodyne Company's price trends.

Gyrodyne Company Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gyrodyne Company stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gyrodyne Company could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gyrodyne Company by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gyrodyne Company Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gyrodyne Company's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gyrodyne Company's current price.

Gyrodyne Company Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gyrodyne Company stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gyrodyne Company shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gyrodyne Company stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gyrodyne Company of entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gyrodyne Company Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gyrodyne Company's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gyrodyne Company's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gyrodyne stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Gyrodyne Company offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gyrodyne Company's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gyrodyne Company Of Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gyrodyne Company Of Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gyrodyne Company to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gyrodyne Company. If investors know Gyrodyne will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gyrodyne Company listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.21
Revenue Per Share
1.847
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Gyrodyne Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gyrodyne that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gyrodyne Company's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gyrodyne Company's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gyrodyne Company's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gyrodyne Company's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gyrodyne Company's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gyrodyne Company is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gyrodyne Company's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.