Guangzhou Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GZUHF Stock  USD 0.23  0.00  0.00%   
Guangzhou Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Guangzhou's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Guangzhou's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangzhou's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Guangzhou and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Guangzhou's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangzhou RF Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Guangzhou hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangzhou RF Properties from the perspective of Guangzhou response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guangzhou RF Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Guangzhou after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guangzhou to cross-verify your projections.

Guangzhou Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Guangzhou simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Guangzhou RF Properties are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Guangzhou RF Properties prices get older.

Guangzhou Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guangzhou RF Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangzhou Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangzhou's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guangzhou Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guangzhou  Guangzhou Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Guangzhou Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guangzhou's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangzhou's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.23 and 0.23, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.23
Expected Value
0.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangzhou pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangzhou pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Guangzhou RF Properties forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Guangzhou observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Guangzhou

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangzhou RF Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.230.230.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.190.190.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangzhou. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangzhou's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangzhou's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangzhou RF Properties.

Guangzhou After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guangzhou at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangzhou or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Guangzhou, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guangzhou Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guangzhou's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangzhou's historical news coverage. Guangzhou's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 0.23, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.23
0.23
After-hype Price
0.23
Upside
Guangzhou is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangzhou RF Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guangzhou Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangzhou is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangzhou backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangzhou, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.23
0.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Guangzhou Hype Timeline

Guangzhou RF Properties is currently traded for 0.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guangzhou is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guangzhou is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.23. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guangzhou RF Properties last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2021. The entity had 4:1 split on the 28th of September 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guangzhou to cross-verify your projections.

Guangzhou Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guangzhou's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangzhou's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangzhou's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangzhou may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AGPYYAgile Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  52.79 
AGGHFAgrios Global Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SIOLFSino Ocean Group Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  98.03 
WFICFWall Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AYAAYAyala Land 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  28.58 
CDCTFGOLDCREST CoLtd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MODVFMelcor Developments 0.00 0 per month 0.28  0.10  1.73 (1.00) 5.28 
JPPSFJinmao Property Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SOHOFSOHO China Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00  0.00  30.95 
SHTGFShun Tak Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Guangzhou

For every potential investor in Guangzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Guangzhou's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangzhou Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangzhou's price trends.

Guangzhou Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangzhou pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangzhou could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangzhou by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guangzhou Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangzhou pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangzhou shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangzhou pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangzhou RF Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Guangzhou

The number of cover stories for Guangzhou depends on current market conditions and Guangzhou's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangzhou is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangzhou's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Guangzhou Pink Sheet

Guangzhou financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangzhou Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Guangzhou security.