Hyatt Hotels Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

H Stock  USD 165.57  5.25  3.27%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hyatt Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 165.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.32. Hyatt Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hyatt Hotels' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Hyatt Hotels' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hyatt Hotels' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hyatt Hotels, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hyatt Hotels' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.96)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6711
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4992
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.7949
Wall Street Target Price
169.7143
Using Hyatt Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hyatt Hotels from the perspective of Hyatt Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hyatt Hotels using Hyatt Hotels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hyatt using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hyatt Hotels' stock price.

Hyatt Hotels Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hyatt Hotels' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hyatt. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hyatt Hotels stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
139.7735
Short Percent
0.2212
Short Ratio
7.17
Shares Short Prior Month
5.8 M
50 Day MA
155.3

Hyatt Hotels Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hyatt Hotels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hyatt. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hyatt can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hyatt Hotels. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hyatt Hotels' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hyatt Hotels.

Hyatt Hotels Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Hyatt Hotels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hyatt Hotels stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hyatt Hotels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hyatt Hotels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hyatt Hotels' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hyatt Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 165.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.32.

Hyatt Hotels after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 166.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hyatt Hotels to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hyatt Stock please use our How to Invest in Hyatt Hotels guide.As of now, Hyatt Hotels' Inventory Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Hyatt Hotels' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.54, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 4.36. . The Hyatt Hotels' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 112.3 M. The Hyatt Hotels' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 1.6 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Hyatt Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hyatt Hotels' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hyatt Hotels' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hyatt Hotels stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hyatt Hotels' open interest, investors have to compare it to Hyatt Hotels' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hyatt Hotels is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hyatt. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Hyatt Hotels Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hyatt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hyatt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hyatt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Hyatt Hotels simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Hyatt Hotels are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Hyatt Hotels prices get older.

Hyatt Hotels Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hyatt Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 165.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27, mean absolute percentage error of 9.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hyatt Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hyatt Hotels' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hyatt Hotels Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hyatt HotelsHyatt Hotels Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hyatt Hotels Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hyatt Hotels' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hyatt Hotels' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 163.48 and 167.66, respectively. We have considered Hyatt Hotels' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
165.57
163.48
Downside
165.57
Expected Value
167.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hyatt Hotels stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hyatt Hotels stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.393
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3443
MADMean absolute deviation2.2675
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors138.32
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Hyatt Hotels forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Hyatt Hotels observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hyatt Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyatt Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
164.32166.35168.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
149.01174.35176.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
151.09161.07171.06
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
154.44169.71188.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyatt Hotels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyatt Hotels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyatt Hotels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyatt Hotels.

Other Forecasting Options for Hyatt Hotels

For every potential investor in Hyatt, whether a beginner or expert, Hyatt Hotels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hyatt Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hyatt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hyatt Hotels' price trends.

Hyatt Hotels Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hyatt Hotels stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hyatt Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hyatt Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hyatt Hotels Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hyatt Hotels' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hyatt Hotels' current price.

Hyatt Hotels Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hyatt Hotels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hyatt Hotels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hyatt Hotels stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hyatt Hotels entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hyatt Hotels Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hyatt Hotels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hyatt Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hyatt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hyatt Hotels to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hyatt Stock please use our How to Invest in Hyatt Hotels guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hyatt Hotels. If investors know Hyatt will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hyatt Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.96)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
(0.74)
Revenue Per Share
34.852
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.159
The market value of Hyatt Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hyatt that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hyatt Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hyatt Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hyatt Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hyatt Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hyatt Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hyatt Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hyatt Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.