Deckers Outdoor Stock Price Prediction
| DECK Stock | USD 192.15 10.24 5.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.57 | EPS Estimate Current Year 27.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 30.27 | Wall Street Target Price 188.2981 |
Using Deckers Outdoor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Deckers Outdoor from the perspective of Deckers Outdoor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Deckers Outdoor Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Deckers Outdoor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Deckers. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Deckers can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Deckers Outdoor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Deckers Outdoor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Deckers Outdoor.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Deckers Outdoor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Deckers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Deckers Outdoor after-hype prediction price | USD 191.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Deckers |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deckers Outdoor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Deckers Outdoor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Deckers Outdoor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Deckers Outdoor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Deckers Outdoor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Deckers Outdoor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Deckers Outdoor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Deckers Outdoor's historical news coverage. Deckers Outdoor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 189.05 and 194.13, respectively. We have considered Deckers Outdoor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Deckers Outdoor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deckers Outdoor is based on 3 months time horizon.
Deckers Outdoor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Deckers Outdoor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deckers Outdoor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Deckers Outdoor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.56 | 0.54 | 0.21 | 11 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
192.15 | 191.59 | 0.29 |
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Deckers Outdoor Hype Timeline
Deckers Outdoor is currently traded for 192.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Deckers is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 191.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 156.1%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Deckers Outdoor is about 406.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 191.94. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.67. Deckers Outdoor had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 6:1 split on the 17th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Deckers Outdoor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Deckers Outdoor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Deckers Outdoor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Deckers Outdoor's future price movements. Getting to know how Deckers Outdoor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Deckers Outdoor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ONON | On Holding | (0.87) | 11 per month | 1.30 | 0.15 | 4.56 | (2.63) | 9.28 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | (0.33) | 11 per month | 1.62 | (0.08) | 2.93 | (2.60) | 8.41 | |
| CROX | Crocs Inc | (1.79) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.27 | (4.25) | 24.38 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.76 | (7.74) | 19.89 | |
| ADDDF | Adidas AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.87 | (4.01) | 14.78 |
Deckers Outdoor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Deckers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Deckers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Deckers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Deckers Outdoor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Deckers Outdoor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Deckers Outdoor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deckers Outdoor based on analysis of Deckers Outdoor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Deckers Outdoor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Deckers Outdoor's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 30.93 | 35.07 | 32.4 | 25.25 | PTB Ratio | 6.42 | 4.89 | 6.75 | 11.42 |
Story Coverage note for Deckers Outdoor
The number of cover stories for Deckers Outdoor depends on current market conditions and Deckers Outdoor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Deckers Outdoor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Deckers Outdoor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Deckers Outdoor Short Properties
Deckers Outdoor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Deckers Outdoor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Deckers Outdoor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Deckers Outdoor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deckers Outdoor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Check out Deckers Outdoor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deckers Outdoor. If investors know Deckers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deckers Outdoor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | Earnings Share 5.67 | Revenue Per Share 30.395 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 | Return On Assets 0.216 |
The market value of Deckers Outdoor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deckers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deckers Outdoor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deckers Outdoor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deckers Outdoor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deckers Outdoor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deckers Outdoor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deckers Outdoor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deckers Outdoor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.