Hafnia Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| HAFN Stock | 5.74 0.07 1.23% |
Hafnia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hafnia's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hafnia's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hafnia fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of relative strength index of Hafnia's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hafnia, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.68 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.75 | Wall Street Target Price 10 |
Using Hafnia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hafnia Limited from the perspective of Hafnia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hafnia using Hafnia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hafnia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hafnia's stock price.
Hafnia Short Interest
An investor who is long Hafnia may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hafnia and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hafnia with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.571 | Short Percent 0.0099 | Short Ratio 2.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 5.8044 |
Hafnia Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hafnia Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.06.Hafnia Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hafnia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hafnia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hafnia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hafnia Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hafnia's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hafnia.
Hafnia Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Hafnia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hafnia Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hafnia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hafnia stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hafnia's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hafnia Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.06. Hafnia after-hype prediction price | USD 5.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hafnia to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Hafnia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hafnia's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hafnia's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hafnia stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hafnia's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hafnia's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hafnia is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hafnia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hafnia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hafnia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hafnia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hafnia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hafnia Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hafnia Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hafnia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hafnia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hafnia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hafnia | Hafnia Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hafnia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hafnia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hafnia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.90 and 7.52, respectively. We have considered Hafnia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hafnia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hafnia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0843 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.06 |
Predictive Modules for Hafnia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hafnia Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hafnia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hafnia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hafnia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hafnia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hafnia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hafnia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hafnia's historical news coverage. Hafnia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.95 and 7.53, respectively. We have considered Hafnia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hafnia is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hafnia Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hafnia Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hafnia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hafnia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hafnia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.81 | 0.01 | 2.61 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.74 | 5.74 | 0.00 |
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Hafnia Hype Timeline
Hafnia Limited is currently traded for 5.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.61. Hafnia is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hafnia is about 6.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.35. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hafnia Limited last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hafnia to cross-verify your projections.Hafnia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hafnia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hafnia's future price movements. Getting to know how Hafnia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hafnia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MATX | Matson Inc | 0.68 | 12 per month | 0.63 | 0.28 | 5.13 | (2.04) | 15.21 | |
| SB | Safe Bulkers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.1 | 3.34 | (1.72) | 13.45 | |
| AZZ | AZZ Incorporated | 4.24 | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.14 | 3.39 | (2.35) | 8.55 | |
| PLUG | Plug Power | (0.13) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.91 | (8.36) | 20.14 | |
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | 1.26 | 15 per month | 1.69 | 0.07 | 3.57 | (2.78) | 8.94 | |
| SEB | Seaboard | 218.06 | 6 per month | 1.45 | 0.23 | 3.16 | (3.19) | 10.07 | |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | (0.26) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.18 | (2.19) | 6.69 | |
| CMBT | CMBTECH NV | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.12 | 4.58 | (3.24) | 13.21 | |
| TEX | Terex | 10.50 | 15 per month | 3.25 | 0.01 | 4.00 | (3.23) | 15.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hafnia
For every potential investor in Hafnia, whether a beginner or expert, Hafnia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hafnia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hafnia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hafnia's price trends.Hafnia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hafnia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hafnia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hafnia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hafnia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hafnia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hafnia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hafnia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hafnia Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hafnia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hafnia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hafnia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hafnia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hafnia
The number of cover stories for Hafnia depends on current market conditions and Hafnia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hafnia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hafnia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hafnia Short Properties
Hafnia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hafnia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hafnia Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hafnia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hafnia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 515.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 282.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hafnia to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hafnia. If investors know Hafnia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hafnia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Dividend Share 0.399 | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
The market value of Hafnia Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hafnia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hafnia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hafnia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hafnia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hafnia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hafnia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hafnia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hafnia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.