Hain Celestial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| HAIN Stock | USD 1.26 0.01 0.80% |
Hain Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hain Celestial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hain Celestial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hain Celestial fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Hain Celestial's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hain Celestial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.196 | Wall Street Target Price 2.4138 |
Using Hain Celestial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Hain Celestial from the perspective of Hain Celestial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hain Celestial using Hain Celestial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hain using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hain Celestial's stock price.
Hain Celestial Short Interest
An investor who is long Hain Celestial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hain Celestial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hain Celestial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.6542 | Short Percent 0.0827 | Short Ratio 4.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.6 M | 50 Day MA 1.1504 |
Hain Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Hain Celestial on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.64.Hain Celestial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hain Celestial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hain. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hain can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Hain Celestial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hain Celestial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hain Celestial.
Hain Celestial Implied Volatility | 2.79 |
Hain Celestial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Hain Celestial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hain Celestial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hain Celestial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hain Celestial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Hain Celestial on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.64. Hain Celestial after-hype prediction price | USD 1.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hain Celestial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hain contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Hain Celestial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.17% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Hain Celestial trading at USD 1.26, that is roughly USD 0.002197 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hain Celestial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Hain Celestial options at the current volatility level of 2.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Hain Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hain Celestial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hain Celestial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hain Celestial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hain Celestial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hain Celestial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hain Celestial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hain. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hain Celestial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hain Celestial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Hain Celestial on the next trading day is expected to be 1.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hain Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hain Celestial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hain Celestial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hain Celestial | Hain Celestial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hain Celestial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hain Celestial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hain Celestial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.65, respectively. We have considered Hain Celestial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hain Celestial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hain Celestial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.7588 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0016 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0448 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0381 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.645 |
Predictive Modules for Hain Celestial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hain Celestial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hain Celestial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hain Celestial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hain Celestial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hain Celestial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hain Celestial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hain Celestial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hain Celestial's historical news coverage. Hain Celestial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.64, respectively. We have considered Hain Celestial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hain Celestial is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hain Celestial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hain Celestial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hain Celestial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hain Celestial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hain Celestial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 4.39 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 25 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 25 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.26 | 1.26 | 0.00 |
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Hain Celestial Hype Timeline
Hain Celestial is currently traded for 1.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Hain is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hain Celestial is about 14633.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.26. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hain Celestial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. The entity recorded a loss per share of 5.9. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Hain Celestial had 2:1 split on the 30th of December 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 25 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hain Celestial to cross-verify your projections.Hain Celestial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hain Celestial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hain Celestial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hain Celestial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hain Celestial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LFVN | Lifevantage | 0.34 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.62 | (7.58) | 18.83 | |
| CHGG | Chegg Inc | 0.04 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 8.79 | (11.32) | 38.40 | |
| BRLS | Borealis Foods | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 7.65 | (12.50) | 40.56 | |
| ISPR | Ispire Technology Common | (0.12) | 5 per month | 5.90 | 0.08 | 9.92 | (9.41) | 29.95 | |
| IMG | CIMG Inc | (0.1) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 12.96 | (15.15) | 47.57 | |
| VSA | TCTM Kids IT | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 13.91 | (23.98) | 95.75 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | (0.19) | 6 per month | 2.55 | (0) | 5.13 | (4.00) | 14.75 | |
| DDC | DDC Enterprise Limited | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.01 | (16.67) | 39.80 | |
| SKIL | Skillsoft Corp | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 13.00 | (14.16) | 39.40 | |
| LGCY | Legacy Education | (0.23) | 24 per month | 3.16 | 0.01 | 6.29 | (5.41) | 22.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hain Celestial
For every potential investor in Hain, whether a beginner or expert, Hain Celestial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hain Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hain Celestial's price trends.Hain Celestial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hain Celestial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hain Celestial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hain Celestial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hain Celestial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hain Celestial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hain Celestial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hain Celestial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Hain Celestial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hain Celestial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hain Celestial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hain Celestial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hain stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Variance | 19.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hain Celestial
The number of cover stories for Hain Celestial depends on current market conditions and Hain Celestial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hain Celestial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hain Celestial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hain Celestial Short Properties
Hain Celestial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hain Celestial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Hain Celestial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hain Celestial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hain Celestial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hain Celestial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hain Celestial. If investors know Hain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hain Celestial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share (5.90) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Hain Celestial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hain Celestial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hain Celestial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hain Celestial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hain Celestial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hain Celestial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hain Celestial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hain Celestial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.