Lifevantage Stock Price Patterns
| LFVN Stock | USD 4.94 0.09 1.79% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3867 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.78 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7833 | Wall Street Target Price 11 |
Using Lifevantage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lifevantage from the perspective of Lifevantage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lifevantage using Lifevantage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lifevantage using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lifevantage's stock price.
Lifevantage Short Interest
An investor who is long Lifevantage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lifevantage and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lifevantage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.8712 | Short Percent 0.361 | Short Ratio 17.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 6.0084 |
Lifevantage Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lifevantage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lifevantage. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lifevantage can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lifevantage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lifevantage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lifevantage.
Lifevantage Implied Volatility | 2.88 |
Lifevantage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lifevantage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lifevantage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lifevantage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lifevantage's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lifevantage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lifevantage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lifevantage after-hype prediction price | USD 4.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lifevantage contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lifevantage will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.18% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lifevantage trading at USD 4.94, that is roughly USD 0.008892 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lifevantage's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lifevantage options at the current volatility level of 2.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lifevantage | Build AI portfolio with Lifevantage Stock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifevantage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifevantage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lifevantage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lifevantage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lifevantage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lifevantage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lifevantage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lifevantage's historical news coverage. Lifevantage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.10 and 8.84, respectively. We have considered Lifevantage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lifevantage is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lifevantage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lifevantage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lifevantage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifevantage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lifevantage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 3.94 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.94 | 4.97 | 1.02 |
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Lifevantage Hype Timeline
Lifevantage is now traded for 4.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lifevantage is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Lifevantage is about 9331.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 228.53 M. Net Income was 9.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 165.4 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Lifevantage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lifevantage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lifevantage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lifevantage's future price movements. Getting to know how Lifevantage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lifevantage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UG | United Guardian | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.88 | 0.03 | 2.56 | (3.45) | 13.91 | |
| UL | Unilever PLC ADR | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 1.93 | (1.81) | 8.92 | |
| VERU | Veru Inc | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.07 | (7.92) | 22.62 | |
| SHDA | SHISEIDO ADR | 0.1 | 2 per month | 2.22 | 0.16 | 5.43 | (3.23) | 22.21 | |
| MLSDN | La Savonnerie de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.82 | 0 | 4.90 | (2.03) | 19.85 | |
| OT7 | Ontex Group NV | (0.18) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.45 | (4.08) | 21.96 | |
| BB | Socit BIC SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.21 | 1.59 | (1.66) | 4.75 | |
| 2DU | Duni AB | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.24 | (1.99) | 8.67 | |
| 9PU | GLOBAL MED SA | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.08 | (3.17) | 15.56 |
Lifevantage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lifevantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifevantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifevantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lifevantage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lifevantage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lifevantage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lifevantage based on analysis of Lifevantage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lifevantage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lifevantage's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0264 | 0.0129 | 0.0148 | 0.0266 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.39 | 0.7 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
Pair Trading with Lifevantage
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lifevantage position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lifevantage will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Lifevantage Stock
| 0.84 | UG | United Guardian | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | BB | Socit BIC SA Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | ESWB | Essity AB | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | EPC | Edgewell Personal Care | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | SHDA | SHISEIDO ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | UL | Unilever PLC ADR | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lifevantage could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lifevantage when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lifevantage - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lifevantage to buy it.
The correlation of Lifevantage is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lifevantage moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lifevantage moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lifevantage can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Lifevantage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lifevantage Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lifevantage guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Personal Care Products sector continue expanding? Could Lifevantage diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifevantage. Expected growth trajectory for Lifevantage significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Lifevantage data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Dividend Share 0.175 | Earnings Share 0.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
Understanding Lifevantage requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Lifevantage's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Lifevantage's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Lifevantage's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Lifevantage's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lifevantage represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Lifevantage's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.