Hamilton Beach Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HBB Stock | USD 19.02 0.04 0.21% |
Hamilton Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hamilton Beach stock prices and determine the direction of Hamilton Beach Brands's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hamilton Beach's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hamilton Beach's stock price is about 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hamilton, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Wall Street Target Price 13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using Hamilton Beach hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hamilton Beach Brands from the perspective of Hamilton Beach response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hamilton Beach using Hamilton Beach's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hamilton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hamilton Beach's stock price.
Hamilton Beach Implied Volatility | 1.2 |
Hamilton Beach's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hamilton Beach Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hamilton Beach's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hamilton Beach stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hamilton Beach's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Beach Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 18.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.96. Hamilton Beach after-hype prediction price | USD 19.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hamilton Beach to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hamilton contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hamilton Beach Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.075% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Hamilton Beach trading at USD 19.02, that is roughly USD 0.0143 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hamilton Beach's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hamilton Beach Brands options at the current volatility level of 1.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Hamilton Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hamilton Beach's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hamilton Beach's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hamilton Beach stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hamilton Beach's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hamilton Beach's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hamilton Beach is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hamilton. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hamilton Beach Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hamilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hamilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hamilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hamilton Beach Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Hamilton Beach's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2015-09-30 | Previous Quarter 11.3 M | Current Value 17.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 12.1 M |
Hamilton Beach Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Beach Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 18.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hamilton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hamilton Beach's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hamilton Beach Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hamilton Beach | Hamilton Beach Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hamilton Beach Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hamilton Beach's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hamilton Beach's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.51 and 21.83, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Beach's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hamilton Beach stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hamilton Beach stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0073 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4584 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0282 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.9597 |
Predictive Modules for Hamilton Beach
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamilton Beach Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hamilton Beach After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hamilton Beach at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hamilton Beach or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hamilton Beach, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hamilton Beach Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hamilton Beach's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hamilton Beach's historical news coverage. Hamilton Beach's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.88 and 22.16, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Beach's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hamilton Beach is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hamilton Beach Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hamilton Beach Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hamilton Beach is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hamilton Beach backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hamilton Beach, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 3.16 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.02 | 19.02 | 0.00 |
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Hamilton Beach Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Hamilton Beach Brands is traded for 19.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Hamilton is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.54%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hamilton Beach is about 1170.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.17. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hamilton Beach Brands last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hamilton Beach to cross-verify your projections.Hamilton Beach Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hamilton Beach's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hamilton Beach's future price movements. Getting to know how Hamilton Beach's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hamilton Beach may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 0.82 | 8 per month | 1.82 | 0.04 | 5.22 | (3.18) | 9.20 | |
| VIOT | Viomi Technology ADR | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 5.46 | (6.71) | 31.89 | |
| JAKK | JAKKS Pacific | 0.39 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.74 | (4.54) | 11.05 | |
| LOVE | The Lovesac | (0.42) | 12 per month | 3.19 | (0.02) | 6.06 | (6.01) | 20.21 | |
| JILL | JJill Inc | 0.82 | 25 per month | 3.17 | 0.0009 | 5.40 | (4.01) | 19.92 | |
| INSE | Inspired Entertainment | 0.44 | 20 per month | 2.67 | 0.05 | 3.97 | (4.58) | 18.56 | |
| CRMT | Americas Car Mart | 0.75 | 11 per month | 3.48 | (0) | 7.71 | (5.55) | 18.39 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | 0.82 | 6 per month | 3.25 | 0.16 | 10.60 | (6.18) | 57.50 | |
| GHG | GreenTree Hospitality Group | (0.42) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.47 | (4.27) | 9.17 | |
| MSC | Studio City International | (0.46) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.67 | (7.93) | 25.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hamilton Beach
For every potential investor in Hamilton, whether a beginner or expert, Hamilton Beach's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hamilton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hamilton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hamilton Beach's price trends.Hamilton Beach Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hamilton Beach stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hamilton Beach could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hamilton Beach by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hamilton Beach Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hamilton Beach stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hamilton Beach shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hamilton Beach stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hamilton Beach Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hamilton Beach Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hamilton Beach's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hamilton Beach's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hamilton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hamilton Beach
The number of cover stories for Hamilton Beach depends on current market conditions and Hamilton Beach's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hamilton Beach is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hamilton Beach's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hamilton Beach Short Properties
Hamilton Beach's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hamilton Beach's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hamilton Beach Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hamilton Beach's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hamilton Beach's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hamilton Beach to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Household Appliances space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hamilton Beach. If investors know Hamilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hamilton Beach listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Dividend Share 0.47 | Earnings Share 2.3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Hamilton Beach Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hamilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hamilton Beach's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hamilton Beach's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hamilton Beach's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hamilton Beach's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hamilton Beach's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hamilton Beach is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hamilton Beach's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.