Amplify Cash Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HCOW Etf | 24.18 0.04 0.17% |
Amplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify Cash's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify Cash, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify Cash hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Cash Flow from the perspective of Amplify Cash response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cash Flow on the next trading day is expected to be 24.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.65. Amplify Cash after-hype prediction price | USD 24.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cash to cross-verify your projections. Amplify Cash Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Cash Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cash Flow on the next trading day is expected to be 24.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Cash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify Cash Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify Cash | Amplify Cash Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Amplify Cash Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify Cash's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Cash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.36 and 25.00, respectively. We have considered Amplify Cash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Cash etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Cash etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9843 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0225 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1442 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0061 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.65 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify Cash
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Cash Flow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amplify Cash After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify Cash at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify Cash or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify Cash, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify Cash Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify Cash's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify Cash's historical news coverage. Amplify Cash's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.36 and 25.00, respectively. We have considered Amplify Cash's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify Cash is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify Cash Flow is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify Cash Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify Cash is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Cash backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify Cash, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.82 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.18 | 24.18 | 0.00 |
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Amplify Cash Hype Timeline
Amplify Cash Flow is currently traded for 24.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Amplify is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amplify Cash is about 1822.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.18. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cash to cross-verify your projections.Amplify Cash Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify Cash's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify Cash's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify Cash's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify Cash may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABCS | Alpha Blue Capital | (0.25) | 4 per month | 0.77 | (0) | 1.72 | (1.22) | 4.06 | |
| INVN | The Alger ETF | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.92 | (1.74) | 4.66 | |
| MLPD | Global X Funds | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.69 | (0.69) | 1.78 | |
| PJFM | PGIM ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.06 | 1.62 | (1.53) | 3.09 | |
| BLCR | BlackRock Large Cap | (0.37) | 3 per month | 0.94 | 0.04 | 1.49 | (1.86) | 4.79 | |
| BIGY | YieldMax Target 12 | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.83 | (0.06) | 0.95 | (1.26) | 3.96 | |
| QOWZ | Invesco Nasdaq Free | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.20 | (1.56) | 3.94 | |
| JADE | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.13 | 1.86 | (1.35) | 3.76 | |
| JDIV | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.72 | (0.03) | 1.12 | (1.22) | 3.69 | |
| PJIO | PGIM ETF Trust | 0.17 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.37 | (2.03) | 4.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Cash
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Cash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Cash's price trends.Amplify Cash Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Cash etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Cash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Cash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify Cash Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Cash etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Cash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Cash etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Cash Flow entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplify Cash Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify Cash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Cash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6016 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7601 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8184 | |||
| Variance | 0.6697 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7027 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5778 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify Cash
The number of cover stories for Amplify Cash depends on current market conditions and Amplify Cash's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify Cash is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify Cash's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cash to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Investors evaluate Amplify Cash Flow using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Amplify Cash's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Amplify Cash's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Cash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Cash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Amplify Cash's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.