Amplify Cash Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

HCOW Etf   27.58  0.19  0.69%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cash Flow on the next trading day is expected to be 27.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.43. Amplify Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Amplify Cash - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Amplify Cash prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Amplify Cash price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Amplify Cash Flow.

Amplify Cash Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Cash Flow on the next trading day is expected to be 27.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Cash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amplify Cash Etf Forecast Pattern

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Amplify Cash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amplify Cash's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Cash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.73 and 28.55, respectively. We have considered Amplify Cash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.58
27.64
Expected Value
28.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Cash etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Cash etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0076
MADMean absolute deviation0.1768
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors10.43
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Amplify Cash observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Amplify Cash Flow observations.

Predictive Modules for Amplify Cash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Cash Flow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.6827.5928.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2627.1728.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.1427.1228.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Cash

For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Cash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Cash's price trends.

Amplify Cash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Cash etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Cash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Cash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amplify Cash Flow Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amplify Cash's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amplify Cash's current price.

Amplify Cash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Cash etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Cash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Cash etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Cash Flow entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amplify Cash Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amplify Cash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Cash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Amplify Cash Flow is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amplify Cash's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amplify Cash's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amplify Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Cash to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of Amplify Cash Flow is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Cash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Cash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify Cash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Cash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Cash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Cash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify Cash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.