Hinge Health Stock Forward View
| HNGE Stock | 39.47 0.71 1.83% |
Hinge Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hinge Health stock prices and determine the direction of Hinge Health's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hinge Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Hinge Health's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hinge Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hinge Health from the perspective of Hinge Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hinge Health on the next trading day is expected to be 43.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.50. Hinge Health after-hype prediction price | USD 38.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hinge Health to cross-verify your projections. Hinge Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hinge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hinge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hinge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hinge Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hinge Health on the next trading day is expected to be 43.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 1.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hinge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hinge Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hinge Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hinge Health | Hinge Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hinge Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hinge Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hinge Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.56 and 46.98, respectively. We have considered Hinge Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hinge Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hinge Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.73 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1229 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.499 |
Predictive Modules for Hinge Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hinge Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hinge Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hinge Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hinge Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hinge Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hinge Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hinge Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hinge Health's historical news coverage. Hinge Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.20 and 42.68, respectively. We have considered Hinge Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hinge Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hinge Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hinge Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hinge Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hinge Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hinge Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 3.71 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.47 | 38.94 | 0.00 |
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Hinge Health Hype Timeline
Hinge Health is currently traded for 39.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Hinge is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hinge Health is about 174.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.49. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hinge Health to cross-verify your projections.Hinge Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hinge Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hinge Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Hinge Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hinge Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WGS | GeneDx Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.29 | (7.88) | 21.84 | |
| CRNX | Crinetics Pharmaceuticals | 1.30 | 11 per month | 2.60 | 0.01 | 3.94 | (5.06) | 23.50 | |
| IMVT | Immunovant | (0.05) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.04 | 4.47 | (3.63) | 15.37 | |
| PRAX | Praxis Precision Medicines | 18.18 | 10 per month | 3.44 | 0.18 | 9.33 | (5.67) | 36.21 | |
| VKTX | Viking Therapeutics | 1.27 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.49 | (6.14) | 22.96 | |
| DYN | Dyne Therapeutics | (0.37) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.01 | (5.89) | 26.40 | |
| OSCR | Oscar Health | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.59 | (7.35) | 30.41 | |
| AKRO | Akero Therapeutics | (0.25) | 4 per month | 0.63 | 0.10 | 3.29 | (2.12) | 16.73 | |
| LNTH | Lantheus Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.23 | 3.75 | (2.19) | 8.01 | |
| INDV | Indivior PLC Ordinary | 1.16 | 10 per month | 1.32 | 0.07 | 3.08 | (2.48) | 7.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hinge Health
For every potential investor in Hinge, whether a beginner or expert, Hinge Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hinge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hinge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hinge Health's price trends.Hinge Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hinge Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hinge Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hinge Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hinge Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hinge Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hinge Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hinge Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hinge Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hinge Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hinge Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hinge Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hinge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Variance | 13.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hinge Health
The number of cover stories for Hinge Health depends on current market conditions and Hinge Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hinge Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hinge Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hinge Health Short Properties
Hinge Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hinge Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hinge Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hinge Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hinge Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 4.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hinge Health to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Hinge Stock refer to our How to Trade Hinge Stock guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Hinge diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hinge Health. Market participants price Hinge higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hinge Health data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Hinge Health using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Hinge Health's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Hinge Health's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hinge Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hinge Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Hinge Health's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.