HNI Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HNI Stock  USD 43.65  0.70  1.63%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HNI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 44.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.70. HNI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HNI Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of HNI Corp's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HNI Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HNI Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HNI Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.97
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.55
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.06
Wall Street Target Price
67
Using HNI Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HNI Corp from the perspective of HNI Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HNI Corp using HNI Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HNI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HNI Corp's stock price.

HNI Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in HNI Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HNI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HNI Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
44.903
Short Percent
0.1031
Short Ratio
2.77
Shares Short Prior Month
6.5 M
50 Day MA
41.3488

HNI Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to HNI Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HNI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HNI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HNI Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HNI Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HNI Corp.

HNI Corp Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
HNI Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HNI Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HNI Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HNI Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when HNI Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HNI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 44.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.70.

HNI Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HNI Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in HNI Stock please use our How to Invest in HNI Corp guide.As of now, HNI Corp's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The HNI Corp's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 4.58, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.82. . The HNI Corp's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 44.6 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is projected to decrease to under 68.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 HNI Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast HNI Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in HNI Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for HNI Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current HNI Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to HNI Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of HNI Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in HNI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

HNI Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HNI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HNI using various technical indicators. When you analyze HNI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

HNI Corp Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the HNI Corp's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
20.7 M
Current Value
20.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
27.7 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for HNI Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of HNI Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

HNI Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of HNI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 44.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HNI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HNI Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HNI Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HNI CorpHNI Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

HNI Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HNI Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HNI Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.34 and 46.60, respectively. We have considered HNI Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.65
44.97
Expected Value
46.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HNI Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HNI Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4228
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5689
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors34.6999
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of HNI Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict HNI Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for HNI Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HNI Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0643.6945.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.3254.8156.44
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
60.9767.0074.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.880.890.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for HNI Corp

For every potential investor in HNI, whether a beginner or expert, HNI Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HNI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HNI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HNI Corp's price trends.

HNI Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HNI Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HNI Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HNI Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HNI Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HNI Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HNI Corp's current price.

HNI Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HNI Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HNI Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HNI Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HNI Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HNI Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of HNI Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HNI Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hni stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether HNI Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HNI Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hni Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hni Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HNI Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in HNI Stock please use our How to Invest in HNI Corp guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HNI Corp. If investors know HNI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HNI Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
1.34
Earnings Share
2.95
Revenue Per Share
55.586
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
The market value of HNI Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HNI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HNI Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HNI Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HNI Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HNI Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HNI Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HNI Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HNI Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.