MicroCloud Hologram Stock Forward View
| HOLO Stock | USD 2.39 0.08 3.24% |
MicroCloud Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of MicroCloud Hologram's share price is approaching 37. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MicroCloud Hologram, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MicroCloud Hologram hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MicroCloud Hologram from the perspective of MicroCloud Hologram response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MicroCloud Hologram on the next trading day is expected to be 2.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.59. MicroCloud Hologram after-hype prediction price | USD 2.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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MicroCloud Hologram Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MicroCloud price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MicroCloud using various technical indicators. When you analyze MicroCloud charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MicroCloud Hologram Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MicroCloud Hologram on the next trading day is expected to be 2.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MicroCloud Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MicroCloud Hologram's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MicroCloud Hologram Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MicroCloud Hologram | MicroCloud Hologram Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MicroCloud Hologram Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MicroCloud Hologram's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MicroCloud Hologram's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.39, respectively. We have considered MicroCloud Hologram's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MicroCloud Hologram stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MicroCloud Hologram stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3618 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0394 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.5905 |
Predictive Modules for MicroCloud Hologram
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MicroCloud Hologram. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MicroCloud Hologram After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MicroCloud Hologram at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MicroCloud Hologram or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MicroCloud Hologram, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MicroCloud Hologram Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MicroCloud Hologram's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MicroCloud Hologram's historical news coverage. MicroCloud Hologram's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.68, respectively. We have considered MicroCloud Hologram's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MicroCloud Hologram is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MicroCloud Hologram is based on 3 months time horizon.
MicroCloud Hologram Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MicroCloud Hologram is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MicroCloud Hologram backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MicroCloud Hologram, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 4.36 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.39 | 2.32 | 2.93 |
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MicroCloud Hologram Hype Timeline
MicroCloud Hologram is currently traded for 2.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. MicroCloud is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.93%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.72%. The volatility of related hype on MicroCloud Hologram is about 48444.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.38. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. MicroCloud Hologram recorded earning per share (EPS) of 437.5. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:40 split on the 21st of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MicroCloud Hologram to cross-verify your projections.MicroCloud Hologram Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MicroCloud Hologram's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MicroCloud Hologram's future price movements. Getting to know how MicroCloud Hologram's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MicroCloud Hologram may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WBX | Wallbox NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.60 | (6.84) | 18.65 | |
| REFR | Research Frontiers Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.52 | (6.91) | 21.50 | |
| DSWL | Deswell Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.01 | 4.75 | (4.19) | 23.97 | |
| CPSH | Cps Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.94 | 0.14 | 12.89 | (6.46) | 32.46 | |
| FKWL | Franklin Wireless Corp | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.56 | (3.75) | 9.54 | |
| CMBM | Cambium Networks Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.91 | 0 | 10.19 | (10.86) | 74.56 | |
| ODYS | Odysightai Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.92 | 0.24 | 14.13 | (4.36) | 25.92 | |
| UAVS | Ageagle Aerial Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 15.73 | (10.61) | 66.75 | |
| NEON | Neonode | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.95 | (4.88) | 17.08 | |
| HKIT | Hitek Global Ordinary | (0.1) | 2 per month | 10.20 | 0.05 | 12.23 | (15.12) | 122.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for MicroCloud Hologram
For every potential investor in MicroCloud, whether a beginner or expert, MicroCloud Hologram's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MicroCloud Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MicroCloud. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MicroCloud Hologram's price trends.MicroCloud Hologram Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MicroCloud Hologram stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MicroCloud Hologram could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MicroCloud Hologram by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MicroCloud Hologram Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MicroCloud Hologram stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MicroCloud Hologram shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MicroCloud Hologram stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MicroCloud Hologram entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MicroCloud Hologram Risk Indicators
The analysis of MicroCloud Hologram's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MicroCloud Hologram's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting microcloud stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.36 | |||
| Variance | 18.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MicroCloud Hologram
The number of cover stories for MicroCloud Hologram depends on current market conditions and MicroCloud Hologram's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MicroCloud Hologram is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MicroCloud Hologram's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MicroCloud Hologram Short Properties
MicroCloud Hologram's future price predictability will typically decrease when MicroCloud Hologram's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MicroCloud Hologram often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MicroCloud Hologram's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MicroCloud Hologram's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MicroCloud Hologram to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in MicroCloud Stock, please use our How to Invest in MicroCloud Hologram guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could MicroCloud diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MicroCloud Hologram. Market participants price MicroCloud higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MicroCloud Hologram data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of MicroCloud Hologram is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MicroCloud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MicroCloud Hologram's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MicroCloud Hologram's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because MicroCloud Hologram's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MicroCloud Hologram's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MicroCloud Hologram's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MicroCloud Hologram is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, MicroCloud Hologram's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.