Honeywell International Stock Forward View
| HON Stock | USD 235.35 4.44 1.92% |
Honeywell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Honeywell International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Honeywell International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Honeywell International fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Honeywell International's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.3612 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.5243 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.4819 | Wall Street Target Price 243.5317 |
Using Honeywell International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Honeywell International from the perspective of Honeywell International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Honeywell International using Honeywell International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Honeywell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Honeywell International's stock price.
Honeywell International Short Interest
An investor who is long Honeywell International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Honeywell International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Honeywell International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 204.8775 | Short Percent 0.0185 | Short Ratio 2.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.1 M | 50 Day MA 204.14 |
Honeywell Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Honeywell International on the next trading day is expected to be 236.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.39.Honeywell International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Honeywell International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Honeywell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Honeywell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Honeywell International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Honeywell International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Honeywell International.
Honeywell International Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
Honeywell International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Honeywell International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Honeywell International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Honeywell International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Honeywell International's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Honeywell International on the next trading day is expected to be 236.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.39. Honeywell International after-hype prediction price | USD 235.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Honeywell | Build AI portfolio with Honeywell Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Honeywell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Honeywell International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Honeywell International trading at USD 235.35, that is roughly USD 0.0515 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Honeywell International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Honeywell International options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Honeywell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Honeywell International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Honeywell International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Honeywell International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Honeywell International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Honeywell International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Honeywell International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Honeywell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Honeywell International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Honeywell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Honeywell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Honeywell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Honeywell International Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Honeywell International's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 12.9 B | Current Value 12.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 3.8 B |
Honeywell International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Honeywell International on the next trading day is expected to be 236.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30, mean absolute percentage error of 8.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Honeywell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Honeywell International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Honeywell International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Honeywell International | Honeywell International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Honeywell International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Honeywell International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Honeywell International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 234.66 and 237.39, respectively. We have considered Honeywell International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Honeywell International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Honeywell International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1006 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2966 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0114 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 142.3903 |
Predictive Modules for Honeywell International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Honeywell International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Honeywell International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Honeywell International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Honeywell International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Honeywell International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Honeywell International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Honeywell International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Honeywell International's historical news coverage. Honeywell International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 233.99 and 236.71, respectively. We have considered Honeywell International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Honeywell International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Honeywell International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Honeywell International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Honeywell International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Honeywell International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Honeywell International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.36 | 2.04 | 0.47 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
235.35 | 235.35 | 0.00 |
|
Honeywell International Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Honeywell International is traded for 235.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.47. Honeywell is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 22.67%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Honeywell International is about 98.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 235.82. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.11. Honeywell International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The firm had 1061:1000 split on the 30th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Honeywell International to cross-verify your projections.Honeywell International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Honeywell International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Honeywell International's future price movements. Getting to know how Honeywell International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Honeywell International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DE | Deere Company | 5.07 | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.15 | 4.08 | (1.84) | 7.96 | |
| UNP | Union Pacific | (4.04) | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.11 | 2.58 | (1.91) | 6.18 | |
| MMM | 3M Company | 4.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.11 | (2.10) | 9.29 | |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 13.22 | 5 per month | 1.57 | 0.15 | 2.92 | (2.44) | 7.74 | |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing | 1.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.69 | (2.05) | 7.52 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | (5.98) | 7 per month | 0.67 | 0.19 | 2.46 | (1.57) | 9.94 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | (4.01) | 7 per month | 1.33 | (0.01) | 2.00 | (2.23) | 7.72 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | 6.28 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.76 | (4.15) | 8.67 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | (0.10) | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.13 | 2.91 | (1.78) | 9.88 | |
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | (1.71) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.26 | (2.74) | 9.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Honeywell International
For every potential investor in Honeywell, whether a beginner or expert, Honeywell International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Honeywell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Honeywell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Honeywell International's price trends.Honeywell International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Honeywell International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Honeywell International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Honeywell International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Honeywell International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Honeywell International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Honeywell International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Honeywell International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Honeywell International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 82718.21 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.349544 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 234.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 234.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.87 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.44 |
Honeywell International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Honeywell International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Honeywell International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting honeywell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9299 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8648 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Honeywell International
The number of cover stories for Honeywell International depends on current market conditions and Honeywell International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Honeywell International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Honeywell International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Honeywell International Short Properties
Honeywell International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Honeywell International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Honeywell International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Honeywell International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Honeywell International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 642.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Honeywell International to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Honeywell Stock, please use our How to Invest in Honeywell International guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Industrial Conglomerates sector continue expanding? Could Honeywell diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Honeywell International. Market participants price Honeywell higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Honeywell International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 4.58 | Earnings Share 7.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Investors evaluate Honeywell International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Honeywell International's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Honeywell International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Honeywell International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Honeywell International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Honeywell International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.