Trane Technologies Plc Stock Price Prediction
| TT Stock | USD 389.19 0.33 0.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.43 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.1475 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.6482 | Wall Street Target Price 414.2368 |
Using Trane Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trane Technologies plc from the perspective of Trane Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Trane Technologies using Trane Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Trane using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Trane Technologies' stock price.
Trane Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Trane Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Trane Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Trane Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 355.8068 | Short Percent 0.0139 | Short Ratio 2.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 396.2654 |
Trane Technologies plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Trane Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Trane. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trane can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trane Technologies plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Trane Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Trane Technologies.
Trane Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Trane Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trane Technologies plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trane Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trane Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trane Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trane Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trane because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trane Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 389.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Trane contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Trane Technologies plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Trane Technologies trading at USD 389.19, that is roughly USD 0.09 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Trane Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Trane Technologies plc options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Trane |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trane Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trane Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trane Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trane Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trane Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trane Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trane Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trane Technologies' historical news coverage. Trane Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 387.95 and 390.65, respectively. We have considered Trane Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trane Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trane Technologies plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trane Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trane Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trane Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trane Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.35 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
389.19 | 389.30 | 0.03 |
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Trane Technologies Hype Timeline
As of January 18, 2025 Trane Technologies plc is listed for 389.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Trane is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 389.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 48.04%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Trane Technologies is about 1338.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 389.19. The company generated the yearly revenue of 17.68 B. Reported Net Income was 2.07 B with gross profit of 6.84 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Trane Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trane Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trane Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trane Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Trane Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trane Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | (0.61) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.26 | (3.55) | 10.95 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 1.22 | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.04 | 2.34 | (1.68) | 12.52 | |
| LII | Lennox International | 1.14 | 12 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 2.89 | (2.89) | 7.42 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.73 | (3.98) | 10.94 | |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | 0.70 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.06 | (2.44) | 10.13 | |
| MAS | Masco | (0.25) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.98 | (2.17) | 7.42 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.99) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.11 | (4.79) | 12.44 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | (0.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.54 | (5.43) | 32.38 | |
| AZEK | Azek Company | (0.49) | 11 per month | 1.88 | 0.09 | 3.79 | (2.33) | 11.76 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 1.64 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.27 | (2.06) | 11.30 | |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems | (1.28) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.67 | (3.12) | 19.69 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | 0.57 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.40 | (2.19) | 10.27 |
Trane Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trane price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trane using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trane charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Trane Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trane Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trane Technologies plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trane Technologies based on analysis of Trane Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trane Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trane Technologies's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0159 | 0.0123 | 0.0142 | 0.0242 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.44 | 3.13 | 2.82 | 2.96 |
Story Coverage note for Trane Technologies
The number of cover stories for Trane Technologies depends on current market conditions and Trane Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trane Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trane Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trane Technologies Short Properties
Trane Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Trane Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trane Technologies plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trane Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trane Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 230.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for Trane Stock Analysis
When running Trane Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Trane Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trane Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Trane Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trane Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trane Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trane Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.