Robinhood Markets Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HOOD Stock | USD 101.24 2.16 2.09% |
Robinhood Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Robinhood Markets stock prices and determine the direction of Robinhood Markets's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Robinhood Markets' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Robinhood Markets' share price is approaching 35. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Robinhood Markets, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Robinhood Markets hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Robinhood Markets from the perspective of Robinhood Markets response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Robinhood Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 101.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 224.56. Robinhood Markets after-hype prediction price | USD 101.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Robinhood Markets Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Robinhood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Robinhood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Robinhood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Robinhood Markets Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Robinhood Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 101.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.74, mean absolute percentage error of 27.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 224.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Robinhood Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Robinhood Markets' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Robinhood Markets Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Robinhood Markets | Robinhood Markets Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Robinhood Markets Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Robinhood Markets' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Robinhood Markets' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.43 and 105.65, respectively. We have considered Robinhood Markets' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Robinhood Markets stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Robinhood Markets stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.064 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.7427 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0309 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 224.56 |
Predictive Modules for Robinhood Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Robinhood Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Robinhood Markets After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Robinhood Markets at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Robinhood Markets or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Robinhood Markets, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Robinhood Markets Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Robinhood Markets' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Robinhood Markets' historical news coverage. Robinhood Markets' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.16 and 105.32, respectively. We have considered Robinhood Markets' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Robinhood Markets is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Robinhood Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.
Robinhood Markets Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Robinhood Markets is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Robinhood Markets backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Robinhood Markets, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 4.11 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 18 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
101.24 | 101.24 | 0.00 |
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Robinhood Markets Hype Timeline
Robinhood Markets is currently traded for 101.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Robinhood is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.54%. %. The volatility of related hype on Robinhood Markets is about 2055.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.13. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Robinhood Markets to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Robinhood Stock refer to our How to Trade Robinhood Stock guide.Robinhood Markets Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Robinhood Markets' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Robinhood Markets' future price movements. Getting to know how Robinhood Markets' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Robinhood Markets may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group | (0.02) | 7 per month | 2.41 | 0.04 | 3.87 | (3.27) | 11.65 | |
| KKR | KKR Co LP | 0.05 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.72 | (3.67) | 10.88 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.59 | (3.69) | 3.31 | |
| IBN | ICICI Bank Limited | (0.27) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.65 | (1.75) | 7.06 | |
| CB | Chubb | 0.58 | 26 per month | 0.65 | 0.12 | 1.65 | (1.56) | 5.16 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | 0.28 | 6 per month | 1.36 | (0.04) | 1.68 | (2.16) | 5.64 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.23 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 7.05 | |
| SCHW | Charles Schwab Corp | (2.38) | 20 per month | 1.15 | 0.08 | 2.09 | (2.32) | 5.35 | |
| COF | Capital One Financial | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.69 | (4.36) | 10.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Robinhood Markets
For every potential investor in Robinhood, whether a beginner or expert, Robinhood Markets' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Robinhood Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Robinhood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Robinhood Markets' price trends.Robinhood Markets Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Robinhood Markets stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Robinhood Markets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Robinhood Markets by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Robinhood Markets Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Robinhood Markets stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Robinhood Markets shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Robinhood Markets stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Robinhood Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.3 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 101.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 101.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.35) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.92 |
Robinhood Markets Risk Indicators
The analysis of Robinhood Markets' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Robinhood Markets' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting robinhood stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.08 | |||
| Variance | 16.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Robinhood Markets
The number of cover stories for Robinhood Markets depends on current market conditions and Robinhood Markets' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Robinhood Markets is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Robinhood Markets' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Robinhood Markets Short Properties
Robinhood Markets' future price predictability will typically decrease when Robinhood Markets' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Robinhood Markets often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Robinhood Markets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Robinhood Markets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 906.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Robinhood Markets to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Robinhood Stock refer to our How to Trade Robinhood Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Robinhood diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Robinhood Markets. Market participants price Robinhood higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Robinhood Markets data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Robinhood Markets using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Robinhood Markets' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Robinhood Markets' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Robinhood Markets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Robinhood Markets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Robinhood Markets' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.