Capital One Financial Stock Price Prediction

COF Stock  USD 182.64  1.95  1.08%   
The relative strength indicator of Capital One's share price is above 70 as of 21st of November 2024 suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Capital, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Capital One's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Capital One and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Capital One's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Capital One Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Capital One's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.64
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.4597
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.5961
Wall Street Target Price
178.8306
Using Capital One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital One Financial from the perspective of Capital One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Capital One Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Capital One's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capital One Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capital One's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capital One.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capital One to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capital because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Capital One after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 181.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Capital One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.33156.97200.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
173.18175.82178.46
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
100.20110.11122.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.852.783.58
Details

Capital One After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Capital One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Capital One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Capital One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital One's historical news coverage. Capital One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 179.29 and 184.57, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
182.64
179.29
Downside
181.93
After-hype Price
184.57
Upside
Capital One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital One Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Capital One Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
2.64
  0.71 
  0.27 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
182.64
181.93
0.39 
160.98  
Notes

Capital One Hype Timeline

On the 21st of November Capital One Financial is traded for 182.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Capital is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 181.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 160.98%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Capital One is about 428.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 182.37. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital One Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.59. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. Capital One had 3:1 split on the 2nd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Capital One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Capital One Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Capital One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital One's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MAMastercard(0.22)6 per month 0.73  0.05  1.70 (1.33) 5.05 
VVisa Class A(0.01)6 per month 1.04  0.1  2.23 (1.30) 7.73 
PYPLPayPal Holdings(1.27)6 per month 1.52  0.09  3.52 (2.75) 10.05 
ALLYAlly Financial 1.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.83 (2.91) 21.67 
AXPAmerican Express(0.04)7 per month 1.30  0.07  2.81 (2.68) 9.79 
SYFSynchrony Financial 1.13 9 per month 1.19  0.14  4.38 (2.58) 23.07 
DFSDiscover Financial Services(4.98)9 per month 1.53  0.10  4.04 (2.77) 24.35 
UPSTUpstart Holdings(1.67)9 per month 3.68  0.15  7.32 (5.57) 56.41 
SOFISoFi Technologies 0.50 9 per month 1.83  0.30  7.21 (3.44) 17.87 

Capital One Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Capital One Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Capital One stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capital One Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One based on analysis of Capital One hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capital One's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capital One's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02210.03230.02310.0243
Price To Sales Ratio2.111.061.92.0

Story Coverage note for Capital One

The number of cover stories for Capital One depends on current market conditions and Capital One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Capital One Short Properties

Capital One's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital One's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital One Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding383.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.3 B

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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