Tekla Healthcare Stock Forward View

HQH Stock  USD 19.10  0.06  0.31%   
Tekla Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tekla Healthcare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Tekla Healthcare's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tekla Healthcare, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tekla Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tekla Healthcare Investors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tekla Healthcare's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.911
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.49)
Using Tekla Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tekla Healthcare Investors from the perspective of Tekla Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tekla Healthcare Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 18.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84.

Tekla Healthcare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tekla Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.

Tekla Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tekla price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tekla using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tekla charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Tekla Healthcare Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Tekla Healthcare's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1996-03-31
Previous Quarter
54
Current Value
59
Quarterly Volatility
11.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Tekla Healthcare is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tekla Healthcare Investors value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tekla Healthcare Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tekla Healthcare Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 18.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tekla Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tekla Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tekla Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tekla Healthcare  Tekla Healthcare Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Tekla Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tekla Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tekla Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.42 and 20.10, respectively. We have considered Tekla Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.10
18.76
Expected Value
20.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tekla Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tekla Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2848
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2071
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors12.838
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tekla Healthcare Investors. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tekla Healthcare. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tekla Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tekla Healthcare Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7519.0920.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4218.7620.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.6519.1419.64
Details

Tekla Healthcare After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tekla Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tekla Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tekla Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tekla Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tekla Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tekla Healthcare's historical news coverage. Tekla Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.75 and 20.43, respectively. We have considered Tekla Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.10
19.09
After-hype Price
20.43
Upside
Tekla Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tekla Healthcare Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tekla Healthcare Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tekla Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tekla Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tekla Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.34
  0.01 
  0.07 
4 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.10
19.09
0.05 
1,117  
Notes

Tekla Healthcare Hype Timeline

On the 31st of January Tekla Healthcare Inv is traded for 19.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Tekla is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Tekla Healthcare is about 183.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.17. About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Tekla Healthcare Inv last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tekla Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.

Tekla Healthcare Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tekla Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tekla Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Tekla Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tekla Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NMFCNew Mountain Finance(0.14)7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.41 (1.72) 7.07 
KBDCKayne Anderson BDC 0.15 8 per month 1.26 (0.01) 2.84 (2.35) 6.04 
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners 6.32 12 per month 1.70 (0.02) 2.94 (2.99) 8.72 
TRINTrinity Capital 0.39 9 per month 1.09  0.17  2.45 (1.55) 6.36 
PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate 0.10 11 per month 0.74  0.07  1.95 (1.50) 4.17 
HRZNHorizon Technology Finance 0.1 9 per month 0.77  0.13  2.53 (1.59) 11.64 
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending(0.18)19 per month 1.29 (0.03) 2.23 (2.09) 5.52 
PXP10 Inc 0.56 10 per month 2.38 (0.01) 4.03 (3.41) 9.58 
MFICMidCap Financial Investment 0.08 5 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.18 (1.47) 6.99 
BCSFBain Capital Specialty(0.09)8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.93 (1.87) 6.32 

Other Forecasting Options for Tekla Healthcare

For every potential investor in Tekla, whether a beginner or expert, Tekla Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tekla Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tekla. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tekla Healthcare's price trends.

Tekla Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tekla Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tekla Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tekla Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tekla Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tekla Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tekla Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tekla Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tekla Healthcare Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tekla Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tekla Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tekla Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tekla stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Tekla Healthcare

The number of cover stories for Tekla Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Tekla Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tekla Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tekla Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tekla Healthcare Short Properties

Tekla Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tekla Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tekla Healthcare Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tekla Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tekla Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.00
When determining whether Tekla Healthcare Inv offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tekla Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tekla Healthcare Investors Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tekla Healthcare Investors Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tekla Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is there potential for Asset Management & Custody Banks market expansion? Will Tekla introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tekla Healthcare. Market participants price Tekla higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Tekla Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.911
Dividend Share
2.24
Earnings Share
1.61
Revenue Per Share
0.136
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.49)
Tekla Healthcare Inv's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Tekla's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Tekla Healthcare's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Tekla Healthcare's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tekla Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tekla Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tekla Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.