Harmony Biosciences Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

HRMY Stock  USD 38.55  0.68  1.80%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Harmony Biosciences Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 41.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.77. Harmony Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Harmony Biosciences' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Harmony Biosciences' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Harmony Biosciences Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Harmony Biosciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Harmony Biosciences Holdings from the perspective of Harmony Biosciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Harmony Biosciences Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 41.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.77.

Harmony Biosciences after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harmony Biosciences to cross-verify your projections.

Harmony Biosciences Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Harmony price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Harmony using various technical indicators. When you analyze Harmony charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Harmony Biosciences price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Harmony Biosciences Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Harmony Biosciences Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 41.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47, mean absolute percentage error of 3.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Harmony Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Harmony Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Harmony Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Harmony BiosciencesHarmony Biosciences Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Harmony Biosciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Harmony Biosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Harmony Biosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.84 and 43.57, respectively. We have considered Harmony Biosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.55
41.20
Expected Value
43.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Harmony Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Harmony Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2968
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4716
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0428
SAESum of the absolute errors89.7661
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Harmony Biosciences Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Harmony Biosciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harmony Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1838.5540.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.7042.3444.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.9737.4540.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Harmony Biosciences

For every potential investor in Harmony, whether a beginner or expert, Harmony Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Harmony Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Harmony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Harmony Biosciences' price trends.

Harmony Biosciences Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Harmony Biosciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Harmony Biosciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harmony Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Harmony Biosciences Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Harmony Biosciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Harmony Biosciences' current price.

Harmony Biosciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Harmony Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harmony Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Harmony Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Harmony Biosciences Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Harmony Biosciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Harmony Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harmony Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting harmony stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Harmony Stock Analysis

When running Harmony Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure Harmony Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmony Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Harmony Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmony Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmony Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmony Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.