Henry Schein Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HS2 Stock  EUR 73.24  0.16  0.22%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Henry Schein on the next trading day is expected to be 76.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.67. Henry Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Henry Schein's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Henry Schein is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Henry Schein value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Henry Schein Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Henry Schein on the next trading day is expected to be 76.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09, mean absolute percentage error of 1.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Henry Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Henry Schein's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Henry Schein Stock Forecast Pattern

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Henry Schein Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Henry Schein's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Henry Schein's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.18 and 78.76, respectively. We have considered Henry Schein's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.24
76.97
Expected Value
78.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Henry Schein stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Henry Schein stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7009
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0929
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors66.665
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Henry Schein. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Henry Schein. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Henry Schein

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Henry Schein. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.4573.2475.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.1358.9280.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
59.5267.3975.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Henry Schein

For every potential investor in Henry, whether a beginner or expert, Henry Schein's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Henry Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Henry. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Henry Schein's price trends.

Henry Schein Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Henry Schein stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Henry Schein could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Henry Schein by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Henry Schein Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Henry Schein's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Henry Schein's current price.

Henry Schein Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Henry Schein stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Henry Schein shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Henry Schein stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Henry Schein entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Henry Schein Risk Indicators

The analysis of Henry Schein's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Henry Schein's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting henry stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Henry Stock

When determining whether Henry Schein offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Henry Schein's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Henry Schein Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Henry Schein Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Henry Schein to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Henry Stock please use our How to Invest in Henry Schein guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Henry Schein's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henry Schein is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henry Schein's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.