Hesai Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HSAI Stock   27.37  0.24  0.87%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hesai Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 28.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.50. Hesai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hesai Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 9th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Hesai Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hesai Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hesai Group American, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hesai Group's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.8549
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.2664
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.9774
Wall Street Target Price
30.5054
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.787
Using Hesai Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hesai Group American from the perspective of Hesai Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hesai Group using Hesai Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hesai using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hesai Group's stock price.

Hesai Group Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hesai Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hesai. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hesai Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
21.3137
Short Percent
0.0414
Short Ratio
2.03
Shares Short Prior Month
5.8 M
50 Day MA
21.2658

Hesai Group American Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hesai Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hesai. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hesai can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hesai Group American. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hesai Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hesai Group.

Hesai Group Implied Volatility

    
  0.79  
Hesai Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hesai Group American stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hesai Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hesai Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hesai Group's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hesai Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 28.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.50.

Hesai Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hesai Group to cross-verify your projections.
As of now, Hesai Group's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Hesai Group's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.63, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.78. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 126.3 M. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (706.1 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Hesai Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hesai Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hesai Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hesai Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hesai Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hesai Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hesai Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hesai. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Hesai Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hesai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hesai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hesai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Hesai Group Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Hesai Group's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
2.7 B
Current Value
2.6 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.4 B
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Hesai Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hesai Group American value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hesai Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hesai Group American on the next trading day is expected to be 28.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hesai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hesai Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hesai Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hesai GroupHesai Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hesai Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hesai Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hesai Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.31 and 32.94, respectively. We have considered Hesai Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.37
28.12
Expected Value
32.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hesai Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hesai Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4451
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8771
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0426
SAESum of the absolute errors53.5002
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hesai Group American. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hesai Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hesai Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hesai Group American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7327.5832.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6725.5230.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.0922.7727.45
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.7630.5133.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hesai Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hesai Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hesai Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hesai Group American.

Other Forecasting Options for Hesai Group

For every potential investor in Hesai, whether a beginner or expert, Hesai Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hesai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hesai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hesai Group's price trends.

Hesai Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hesai Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hesai Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hesai Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hesai Group American Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hesai Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hesai Group's current price.

Hesai Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hesai Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hesai Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hesai Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hesai Group American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hesai Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hesai Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hesai Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hesai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Hesai Group American offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hesai Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hesai Group American Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hesai Group American Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hesai Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hesai Group. If investors know Hesai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hesai Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.45
Revenue Per Share
20.702
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.475
Return On Assets
0.0132
Return On Equity
0.0684
The market value of Hesai Group American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hesai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hesai Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hesai Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hesai Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hesai Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hesai Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hesai Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hesai Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.