Hesai Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

HSAI Stock   23.87  0.83  3.36%   
Hesai Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hesai Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the value of RSI of Hesai Group's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hesai Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hesai Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hesai Group Sponsored, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hesai Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hesai Group Sponsored from the perspective of Hesai Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hesai Group Sponsored on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.26.

Hesai Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hesai Group to cross-verify your projections.

Hesai Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hesai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hesai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hesai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Hesai Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Hesai Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hesai Group Sponsored on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 1.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hesai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hesai Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hesai Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hesai Group  Hesai Group Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Hesai Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hesai Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hesai Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.87 and 28.87, respectively. We have considered Hesai Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.87
23.87
Expected Value
28.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hesai Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hesai Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7352
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0313
MADMean absolute deviation0.8348
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0384
SAESum of the absolute errors49.255
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Hesai Group Sponsored price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Hesai Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Hesai Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hesai Group Sponsored. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.8723.8728.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2319.2324.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.9626.0130.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hesai Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hesai Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hesai Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hesai Group Sponsored.

Hesai Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hesai Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hesai Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hesai Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hesai Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hesai Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hesai Group's historical news coverage. Hesai Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.87 and 28.87, respectively. We have considered Hesai Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.87
23.87
After-hype Price
28.87
Upside
Hesai Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hesai Group Sponsored is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hesai Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hesai Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hesai Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hesai Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
5.00
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.87
23.87
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hesai Group Hype Timeline

Hesai Group Sponsored is currently traded for 23.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Hesai is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hesai Group is about 4385.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.85. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hesai Group was currently reported as 9.32. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hesai Group to cross-verify your projections.

Hesai Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hesai Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hesai Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Hesai Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hesai Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Hesai Group

For every potential investor in Hesai, whether a beginner or expert, Hesai Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hesai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hesai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hesai Group's price trends.

Hesai Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hesai Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hesai Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hesai Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hesai Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hesai Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hesai Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hesai Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hesai Group Sponsored entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hesai Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hesai Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hesai Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hesai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hesai Group

The number of cover stories for Hesai Group depends on current market conditions and Hesai Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hesai Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hesai Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Hesai Group Short Properties

Hesai Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hesai Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hesai Group Sponsored often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hesai Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hesai Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding129.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 B
When determining whether Hesai Group Sponsored offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hesai Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hesai Group Sponsored Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hesai Group Sponsored Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hesai Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Hesai introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hesai Group. Market participants price Hesai higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Hesai Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hesai Group Sponsored is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hesai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hesai Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hesai Group's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Hesai Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hesai Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hesai Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hesai Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Hesai Group's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.