Emerald Banking Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

HSSAX Fund  USD 30.78  0.67  2.23%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Emerald Banking And on the next trading day is expected to be 30.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.31. Emerald Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Emerald Banking And is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Emerald Banking 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Emerald Banking And on the next trading day is expected to be 30.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emerald Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emerald Banking's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Emerald Banking Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Emerald Banking Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Emerald Banking's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Emerald Banking's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.49 and 32.19, respectively. We have considered Emerald Banking's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.78
30.34
Expected Value
32.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emerald Banking mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emerald Banking mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1043
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1893
MADMean absolute deviation0.5142
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors29.3075
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Emerald Banking. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Emerald Banking And and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Emerald Banking

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emerald Banking And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9330.7832.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7431.5933.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.9230.5631.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Emerald Banking. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Emerald Banking's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Emerald Banking's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Emerald Banking And.

Other Forecasting Options for Emerald Banking

For every potential investor in Emerald, whether a beginner or expert, Emerald Banking's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Emerald Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Emerald. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Emerald Banking's price trends.

Emerald Banking Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emerald Banking mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emerald Banking could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emerald Banking by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Emerald Banking And Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Emerald Banking's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Emerald Banking's current price.

Emerald Banking Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emerald Banking mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emerald Banking shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emerald Banking mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Emerald Banking And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Emerald Banking Risk Indicators

The analysis of Emerald Banking's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Emerald Banking's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emerald mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Emerald Mutual Fund

Emerald Banking financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emerald Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emerald with respect to the benefits of owning Emerald Banking security.
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