Heartland Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HTLFDelisted Stock  USD 64.67  2.01  3.01%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Heartland Financial USA on the next trading day is expected to be 63.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.36. Heartland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Heartland Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 21st of January 2026 the value of rsi of Heartland Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Heartland Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Heartland Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Heartland Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Heartland Financial USA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Heartland Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Heartland Financial USA from the perspective of Heartland Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Heartland Financial USA on the next trading day is expected to be 63.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.36.

Heartland Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Heartland Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Heartland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Heartland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Heartland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Heartland Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Heartland Financial USA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Heartland Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Heartland Financial USA on the next trading day is expected to be 63.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24, mean absolute percentage error of 2.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Heartland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Heartland Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Heartland Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Heartland FinancialHeartland Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Heartland Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Heartland Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0773
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2354
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0192
SAESum of the absolute errors75.358
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Heartland Financial USA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Heartland Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Heartland Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heartland Financial USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.6764.6764.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.3954.3971.14
Details

Heartland Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Heartland Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Heartland Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heartland Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Heartland Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Heartland Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Heartland Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Heartland Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Heartland Financial USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Consideration for investing in Heartland Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Heartland Financial USA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Heartland Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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